U.S. Stocks Retreat Monday Prior Tomorrow’s Inflation Data Reveal – ( $BTC $EPRX $GOVX $INDP $ORCL $RIO $TSLA Rise!)
- Published Aug 11, 2025
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Major Index Performance
U.S. equity markets retreated from last week’s record highs as traders braced for upcoming inflation data (CPI, Tuesday at 8:30am ET) and closely monitored developments in global trade relations. Indeed, the today’s session seemed to illustrate the market’s delicate balance between optimism for a September rate cut and caution over persistent inflation, labor market weakness, and geopolitics. Technology remained dominant but sector rotation, tariff noise, and macro uncertainty kept traders on edge as the week began.The S&P 500 closed at 6,374.32, down 16 points or 0.25%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 200.62 points, or 0.45%, finishing at 43,975.09. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slipped 64.42 points, or 0.30%, to close at 21,385.40, though these indices remain near their historic peaks. The Russell index also posted slight losses down .09% and closing at 2,216.51, reflecting a rotation out of smaller-cap names as sector leadership shifted back toward large-cap technology and financials.
Macroeconomic Reports
Second-quarter GDP growth was reported at a respectable annualized rate of 3.0%, though underlying indicators reveal tepid consumer spending, subdued private investment, and persistent weakness in the housing market. The July jobs report undershot forecasts, with payroll gains of just 73,000 and prior months seeing sharp downward revisions. Unemployment edged up to 4.24%, adding fuel to speculation that the Federal Reserve may move toward an initial rate cut in September if labor conditions do not improve and tariff-driven price pressures persist. July’s PMI data signaled some momentum in services, while manufacturing continues to lag.
Federal Reserve, Yield Curve & Interest Rates
Despite recent volatility, market consensus expects the Fed to ease rates later this year, potentially as soon as September. Bond prices moved higher and yields compressed today, as investors positioned ahead of the consumer inflation print due tomorrow. The yield curve continues to hold a shallow inversion, reflecting ongoing policy uncertainty and tariff impacts on longer-term growth. The 2-yr closed at 3.783% and the 10-yr closed at 4.289%.
Tariff and Trade News
President Trump’s sweeping reciprocal tariffs—effective since August 7—remain front and center. The administration’s aggressive stance, echoed in a warning on Truth Social about potential 1929-style market consequences, has heightened volatility. Technology stocks benefited from efforts to onshore production and dodge higher tariffs, but supply chain anxieties linger.
Corporate Headlines & Share Price Movements
NVIDIA ($182.06, -.37%) set the tone, unveiling new physical AI and accelerated computing products at SIGGRAPH 2025. While today’s session saw pressure on semiconductor stocks amid renewed concerns over export controls to China, NVIDIA’s partnerships with top gaming studios remain an area of strategic strength.
Tesla (TSLA) extended its rally, closing up 2.84% at $339.03. Investors cheered a surge in Model Y demand ahead of September’s EV tax credit expiration, and CEO Elon Musk confirmed public robotaxi availability beginning next month. Tesla’s ongoing focus on autonomous driving and expanding production keeps it a core growth story despite political headwinds.
Meta Platforms (META) saw modest pressure, finishing down 0.45% at $765.87. Options market activity turned bullish, though RSI readings suggest near-term overbought conditions. News emerged of privacy concerns linked to contractors accessing user data for AI model training, reigniting broader debates about Meta’s governance.
McDonald’s (MCD, $304.36, -.36%) did not dominate headlines today, and traded nearly flat, reflecting limited sector news flow in the face of broader consumer discretionary softness.
Oracle (ORCL) rose 1.05% to close at $252.68 as investors continue to monitor its multi-cloud and AI integration initiatives.
Palantir Technologies (PLTR, $182.68, -2.29%) pulled back today after recently gaining 21% in the wake of robust software demand and new government contracts, outperforming peer tech names and helping to lift the broader Nasdaq.
Rio Tinto Group saw muted movement, but rose .45% to close at $62.14 as investors digested stabilization in metals markets and looked for clarity on the impact of tariffs on global mining operations.
Commodities & Cryptocurrency
- Gold: Gold prices closed at $3,393.70/ounce, -.32%.
- Silver: Silver closed at $37.65 and is up 27.08% YTD.
- Oil: Crude Oil prices rose .06% to $64/bbl over.
- Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin rallied to an all-time high of $122,955 today and is trading at $119,230 currently up 1.95%.