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Taleb, Citrini and the Birth of the AI Scare Trade – ( $NVDA $DIA $QQQ $SPY )

Taleb, Citrini and the Birth of the AI Scare Trade

Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Citrini Research have unintentionally become co-authors of Wall Street’s latest genre: the AI scare trade, where investors hedge against the possibility that the very technology powering the boom becomes the reason for the bust.finance.

Their message is not “run for the exits,” but something more subtle—and more marketable: enjoy the AI party, but know where the fire doors are.


From DeepSeek to Deep Squeamishness

The scare trade began to crystallize after a string of AI-driven market shocks that turned once-bulletproof leaders into volatility machines.

Taleb, famed for popularizing “black swans,” has argued that Nvidia’s massive drawdown on fears around a rival Chinese AI model was not an isolated freak wave but a preview of how crowded and fragile the AI complex has become. He has likened AI darlings to earlier tech manias, where incumbent champions looked unassailable right up until they weren’t, urging investors to insure against drawdowns that could be “two to three times worse” than recent selloffs.

In other words, if you’re long the AI dream, Taleb wants you long AI disaster insurance too.


Citrini’s “Ghost GDP” and the Death of Friction

While Taleb warns from the realm of probability, Citrini Research has gone full speculative fiction, publishing a viral scenario memo that reads like a future post-mortem on an AI-induced recession.

The note imagines a world in which AI agents relentlessly eliminate “friction” across the economy—displacing white-collar workers, compressing margins, and routing transactions in ways that inflate output but deflate demand. Citrini dubs this “ghost GDP”: productivity that shows up in the statistics but not in paychecks, because machines have an inconvenient habit of earning nothing and spending even less.

In the scenario, companies built on intermediation—software, payments, and other fee skimmers—see their business models erode as AI agents bypass middlemen, culminating in a 38% drop in the S&P 500 from its peak and a white-collar recession. The research is explicit that this is a warning, not a forecast, urging investors to reassess how much of their portfolio depends on assumptions about human-centric growth that may not survive the decade.


When Warnings Hit the Tape

On Wall Street, ideas only become real when they start moving prices, and the Taleb–Citrini axis has done exactly that.finance.

A wave of AI-scare headlines has coincided with sharp selloffs in software, payments, wealth management, logistics, and even real-estate services, as traders adopt a “shoot first, ask questions later” stance toward anything that looks like an intermediary between humans and money. One widely-circulated AI-recession scenario helped spark fresh volatility, while Taleb’s repeated calls to hedge tech-heavy portfolios have reinforced the sense that the AI complex is not just a growth story but a structural-risk story.

Yet even as the AI scare trade bites, strategists caution that markets may be over-reading the menace, with valuations occasionally reacting more to virality than to actual earnings revisions. The result is a new pattern: AI headlines now move the “have-a-presentation-on-AI” cohort of stocks almost as reliably as earnings releases.finance.


The New Market Mood: Hedge the Miracle

Taleb’s view of AI is not purely apocalyptic; he has acknowledged that the technology could help address sluggish growth even as it introduces fresh tail risks. Citrini, for its part, frames its work as a prompt to be proactive rather than a eulogy for capitalism.

Together, they have sketched a market mood that might be summarized as: “AI will change everything, which is why you should probably buy some protection.” Their combined influence has helped reposition AI from a one-way upside narrative to a two-sided trade, where investors simultaneously chase upside in foundational platforms and seek hedges against the possibility that those same platforms compress the very demand they need to thrive.

In classic Wall Street fashion, the scare trade doesn’t ask whether AI is good or bad for humanity—it asks whether you’re properly positioned if it turns out to be both.

The Sources

  1. Citrini Research – “THE 2028 GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS” (original “ghost GDP” scenario memo)
    https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/2028gic[citriniresearch]​
  2. Fortune – “‘Ghost GDP’ and a white-collar recession: Substack’s top finance writer on how AI could trigger a crash”
    https://fortune.com/2026/02/23/will-ai-take-my-job-cause-recession-crash-james-val-geelen-citrini/[fortune]​
  3. Yahoo Finance – “‘Ghost GDP,’ a white-collar recession, and the death of friction”
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ghost-gdp-white-collar-recession-163043617.html[finance.yahoo]​
  4. Implicator.ai – “AI’s Productivity Boom Is Real. The Prosperity Part Isn’t.”
    https://www.implicator.ai/ais-productivity-boom-is-real-the-prosperity-part-isnt/[implicator]​
  5. Campbell Ramble – “The Death of the New Deal” (discussion of AI, friction, and policy context)
    https://www.campbellramble.ai/p/the-death-of-the-new-deal[campbellramble]​
  6. Hacker News discussion – “Global Intelligence Crisis”
    https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47114579[news.ycombinator]​

February 23, 2026- Dow Sinks 800 Points as Tariffs and AI “Scare Trade” Rattle Wall Street -( $GOVX $INTG $MCD Rise!)

U.S. stocks sold off sharply on Monday as fresh tariff uncertainty from Washington and mounting concerns over AI-driven disruption sparked a broad risk-off move across Wall Street, driving a roughly 800‑point slide in the Dow and sending the S&P 500 and Nasdaq decisively lower for the session.

Markets

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped about 1.7%, or just over 800 points, led by declines in major financials and economically sensitive names as investors reassessed the trajectory of global trade.
  • The S&P 500 finished firmly in the red, with selling pressure concentrated in cyclicals and growth sectors tied to trade and technology demand.
  • The Nasdaq Composite slid as renewed volatility hit software, IT services, and broader tech, though a handful of AI leaders held up better ahead of key earnings later in the week.
  • Treasury yields fell as investors moved into perceived safe havens, while equity market volatility picked up alongside the risk‑off shift.

Drivers

  • Trade policy: After last week’s Supreme Court ruling curbing his earlier “reciprocal” tariffs initially buoyed risk assets, President Trump’s weekend move to announce a new 15% baseline tariff on imports reset the trade narrative and rattled global markets.
  • Global reaction: The European Union pushed back, stressing that “a deal is a deal” and signaling resistance to additional U.S. tariffs, while reports pointed to delayed trade steps and weaker European equity benchmarks.
  • AI “scare trade”: A fresh wave of anxiety around AI‑driven disruption resurfaced after Anthropic unveiled a tool aimed at automating high‑value analytical work, pressuring consulting, IT services, and software stocks as investors contemplated margin and business‑model risk.
  • Sector moves: Names in consulting and IT services, including IBM, Accenture, and Cognizant, were among the notable decliners, while high‑multiple software names faced renewed multiple compression on AI competition concerns.
  • Flight to defensives: Consumer staples and other defensive pockets outperformed, with some grocery, household‑products, and personal‑care names relatively unscathed by the selloff as investors rotated toward earnings and cash‑flow stability.

VP Watchlist Updates

Below is an update‑style snapshot on the VP Watchlist names for the week, focused on recent catalysts, positioning, and narrative rather than precise price moves.

Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals (EPRX, $8.16)

Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals Inc. (“Eupraxia” or the “Company”), a clinical-stage biotechnology company leveraging its proprietary Diffusphere™ technology designed to optimize local, controlled drug delivery for applications with significant unmet need, is pleased to announce the successful closing of its previously announced public offering (the “Offering”) of 7,607,145 common shares of the Company (the “Common Shares”), which includes the full exercise of the option to purchase additional shares granted to the underwriters, at a price to the public of US$7.00 per Common Share, and pre-funded warrants to purchase up to 1,428,571 Common Shares in lieu thereof (the “Pre-Funded Warrants”) at a price of US$6.99999 per Pre-Funded Warrant, which equals the public offering price per Common Share less the C$0.000001 per share exercise price of each Pre-Funded Warrant, for gross proceeds of approximately US$63.2 million, before deducting the underwriting commissions and estimated expenses incurred in connection with the Offering.“We are pleased to complete this financing, allowing us to significantly expand our pipeline, reach several additional development milestones with EP-104GI for eosinophilic esophagitis, and make meaningful progress towards commercial readiness,” said James Helliwell, CEO of Eupraxia. “We appreciate the support from both existing and new investors as we execute our mission and pursue the next phase of growth for Eupraxia.” Cantor and LifeSci Capital acted as joint book-running managers for the Offering. Bloom Burton and Craig-Hallum also acted as co-managers for the Offering. As previously stated, the Company intends to use the net proceeds from the Offering primarily for the continued advancement of EP-104GI for Eosinophilic Esophagitis, including the completion of ongoing preclinical studies, and Phase 2 clinical trials, preparations for a Phase 3 clinical trial including the related regulatory submissions, and manufacturing activities, and to undertake the necessary commercial/market development activities to prepare for the eventual product launch. The Company also intends to use a portion of the proceeds to accelerate and expand its plans to pursue clinical studies with EP-104GI in multiple additional gastrointestinal indications, including in esophageal strictures and fibrostenotic Crohn’s disease. A portion of the proceeds will be allocated to research and development of additional pipeline candidates, business development initiatives, and general corporate purposes, which may include but are not limited to employee salaries, working capital, leases for facilities, administrative expenses, and capital expenditures. The Company may also use a portion of the proceeds to expand its intellectual property portfolio and strengthen its corporate infrastructure to support future growth.

Modular Medical (MODD)

  • Closed at $.4871. Has been trading as a diabetes‑tech name, with shares reacting to execution milestones around its Pivot tubeless patch pump platform.Earlier this month, the company began production of validation lots for its disposable cartridge and infusion set, keeping it on track for a planned commercial launch in the first quarter of 2026, contingent on FDA 510(k) clearance—an event path that positions upcoming regulatory decisions as key stock catalysts.
  • Earlier this month, the company began production of validation lots for its disposable cartridge and infusion set, keeping it on track for a planned commercial launch in the first quarter of 2026, contingent on FDA 510(k) clearance—an event path that positions upcoming regulatory decisions as key stock catalysts.

FIGS, Inc. (FIGS, $10.91)

FIGS, the direct‑to‑consumer healthcare apparel brand, operates at the intersection of e‑commerce and specialty retail, with a loyal professional customer base and a growing product portfolio. While macro headwinds and digital‑ad volatility have pressured some consumer names, FIGS’ brand equity in the medical community and ongoing product innovation offer levers for renewed growth as conditions normalize.

GeoVax Labs (GOVX, $1.63, +6.54%)

DoubleVerify (DV, $8.85)

  • DV traded in the context of that modest risk‑off tone closing at $9.59; no major company‑specific headline surfaced in the reviewed sources.
  • DoubleVerify continues to benefit from secular tailwinds in digital ad verification and brand safety as advertisers prioritize measurable, fraud‑free impressions across social, CTV, and open web channels. In an environment where macro uncertainty still pressures marketing budgets, DV’s performance‑oriented value proposition and recurring‑revenue profile keep it well positioned within the ad‑tech stack.

The InterGroup Corporation (INTG, $28.22, +1.69%)

  • The InterGroup Corporation, a small‑cap real estate and hospitality‑focused holding company, and closed at $27.75 on Friday. Recent filings and commentary highlight that results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, benefited from improved hotel metrics and gains on real estate transactions, even as the company continues to carry substantial mortgage and subordinated note obligations. With a market capitalization in the low‑$60 million range and thin trading, INTG remains a tightly held, event‑driven real estate story where periodic asset sales and refinancing activity can materially influence quarterly earnings.

Serina Therapeutics (SER, $1.57)

  • Serina Therapeutics, a clinical-stage biotechnology company advancing drug candidates enabled by its proprietary POZ Platform™ drug optimization technology, announced (Feb. 19) that the first patient has been enrolled in the Company’s Phase 1b registrational trial evaluating. The Phase 1b registrational study is designed to evaluate the safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics, and preliminary efficacy of SER-252 in patients with advanced Parkinson’s disease whose symptoms are inadequately controlled by current standard-of-care therapies. Serina remains on track to initiate dosing during the current quarter, consistent with previously disclosed guidance.

Volato Group, Inc. (SOAR) & M2i Global, Inc. (MTWO)

  • Volato and M2i Global reaffirmed their goal of closing their business combination in the first quarter of 2026, citing steady advancement through SEC review and integration planning as they move toward a combined listing. The deal, originally announced in 2025, will effectively transition Volato from a pure‑play private aviation operator into a diversified platform spanning aviation technology and critical minerals, with M2i shareholders expected to own the majority of the combined entity. Operationally, the partnership is already visible: the two companies recently initiated their first shipment of titanium ore from Western Australia to the United States from Titanium X, underscoring how the critical‑minerals vertical could become a meaningful growth engine as domestic supply‑chain security rises in strategic importance.
  • On Feb. 4, M2i Global,Inc.along with Volato Group, Inc. announced that Titanium X has initiated its first shipment of titanium ore from Western Australia to the U.S. under its collaboration agreement.

NVIDIA (NVDA, $191.55, +.91%)

  • Nvidia stays at the center of the AI trade as hyperscale and enterprise demand for accelerated computing remains robust, even as some of its high‑end H‑series chips remain subject to legacy Section 232 tariff structures. The Supreme Court decision removes one layer of tariff uncertainty, and while new trade measures could emerge, the company’s strong pricing power and product cycle momentum continue to underpin the bull case.

McDonald’s (MCD, $334.56, +1.62%)

  • Options data around the February 2026 expiries highlight active positioning near the 300–305 strike range, consistent with expectations for steady but not explosive upside from here.
  • McDonald’s continues to showcase defensive attributes with a combination of resilient traffic, disciplined pricing, and an increasingly digital‑first operating model. In a world of uneven growth and sticky services inflation, the brand’s value positioning and global scale keep it a core holding for many income and quality‑growth investors.

Nokia (NOK, $7.57)

  • Nokia remains a value‑tilted telecom and network‑equipment play that is trading more with global cyclical and communications hardware sentiment than with high‑beta tech, and it did not appear as a major driver in today’s U.S.‑centric headlines.

Opendoor (OPEN, $4.78)

The Sources

  1. Yahoo Finance – “Stock market today: Dow falls 800 points, S&P 500, Nasdaq slide amid Trump’s new tariff threats, AI fears”
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/live/stock-market-today-dow-falls-800-points-sp-500-nasdaq-slide-amid-trumps-new-tariff-threats-ai-fears-210027026.html[finance.yahoo]​
  2. CNBC – “Dow drops 800 points as AI disruption fears and tariff woes weigh on markets”
    https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/22/stock-market-today-live-updates.html[cnbc]​
  3. The Wall Street Journal – “Stock Market Today: Dow, Dollar Fall on Tariff Uncertainty”
    https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-tariffs-02-23-2026[wsj]​
  4. MarketWatch – “Stock Market Today: Dow down 800 points, S&P 500 and Nasdaq retreat after Trump hikes global tariffs”
    https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-set-for-300-point-retreat-s-p-500-and-nasdaq-to-slide[marketwatch]​
  5. Investopedia – “Stock Market Today: Major Indexes End Sharply Lower Amid Tariff Uncertainty, AI Disruption; Dow Sheds 800 Points”
    https://www.investopedia.com/stock-market-today-dow-jones-s-and-p-500-02232026-11911667[investopedia]​
  6. Bloomberg Opinion – “The AI ‘Scare Trade’ Is Healthy for the Stock Market”
    https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-02-23/the-ai-scare-trade-is-heathy-for-the-stock-market[bloomberg]​
  7. Finviz – “Dow Drops 821 Points on AI, Tariff Concerns”
    https://finviz.com/news/319421/dow-drops-821-points-on-ai-tariff-concerns[finviz]​
  8. AInvest – “Dow Tumbles 800 Points: Tariff Uncertainty and AI Fears Shake Markets”
    https://h5.ainvest.com/frontPage/regular/news-page/index.html?id=stocks-slide-investors-weigh-nvidia-earnings-rising-rent-poses-[h5.ainvest]​
  9. Volato Group & M2i Global press release – “Volato Group and M2i Global Reaffirm Targeted First Quarter 2026 Merger Timeline” (Business Wire/Yahoo Finance)
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/volato-group-m2i-global-reaffirm-160000235.html[finance.yahoo]​
  10. Volato Group & M2i Global press release – “Volato Group and M2i Global Reaffirm Targeted First Quarter 2026 Merger Timeline” (company IR site version)
    https://ir.flyvolato.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/131/volato-group-and-m2i-global-reaffirm-targeted-first-quarter-2026-[ir.flyvolato]​
  11. Volato Group & M2i Global merger details – “Volato Group Sets Preliminary Shareholder Meeting Date to Approve Merger with M2i Global”
    https://ir.flyvolato.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/122/volato-group-sets-preliminary-shareholder-meeting-date-to-approve[ir.flyvolato]​

Gene Editing’s Next Act: How A Nobel Laureate Wants To Turn CRISPR From Hype To Habit

In an era when artificial intelligence has stolen most of biotech’s buzz, gene editing is quietly trying to grow up from scientific marvel to dependable business line. At the center of that transition stands Nobel laureate Jennifer Doudna, who is now pairing lab coat credibility with a Wall Street–sized ambition: a $1 billion plan to make CRISPR therapies as commercially reliable as they are scientifically dazzling.

Her vehicle is the Innovative Genomics Institute (IGI), which she aims to fund to the tune of roughly $1 billion to support a roughly $100 million annual budget, effectively turning an academic hub into a platform company for the entire gene editing ecosystem. The strategy is less about a single “blockbuster” drug and more about building an infrastructure that can repeatedly generate, de-risk, and launch gene editing ventures into a market that has proven far tougher than the early headlines suggested.

From CRISPR Hype Cycle To Commercial Reality

A decade ago, CRISPR was introduced to investors as biology’s equivalent of “software for DNA,” with promises that every disease with a genetic root might be addressable. Capital markets responded on cue: U.S. gene editing companies saw investment soar from roughly $24 billion in 2017 to a peak of about $122 billion in 2021, a run-up that rivaled the frothiest days of the genomics and dot‑com eras.

Reality, as usual, billed at a higher rate. Several high‑profile names struggled: Editas Medicine cut about 65% of its workforce and paused its lead sickle cell disease program, while Tome Biosciences shuttered in 2024 despite raising more than $200 million. One industry insider compared CRISPR’s arc to “AI in 2017”: enormous expectations, followed by a sobering realization that translating beautiful slides into approved products takes more time, more money, and far less PowerPoint.

Building An Engine, Not Just A Single Winner

Doudna’s answer is to industrialize the path from academic discovery to commercial product rather than chasing one flagship asset. IGI and its affiliated ecosystem have already helped spawn 31 companies, collectively valued at around $9 billion and employing more than 2,500 people, with Doudna herself a co‑founder in seven.

Those companies span tools, therapeutics, and platforms, from diagnostics group Mammoth Biosciences—now valued at roughly $1.4 billion and backed by a $100 million collaboration with Regeneron—to newer efforts like Aurora Therapeutics, launched to address rare genetic disorders. Aurora emerged from stealth with approximately $116 million in funding (including prior commitments) and leadership steeped in commercial biotech experience, underscoring the push to blend scientific daring with operational discipline.

Pharma Partnerships: When David Invites Goliath

For all the romance of small teams in hoodies solving disease in converted warehouses, gene editing has discovered a familiar truth: late‑stage trials and global commercialization are best attempted with big‑pharma balance sheets. Across the sector, partnerships are multiplying, pairing editing platforms with established commercial machines. Beam Therapeutics linked up with Pfizer on in vivo base editing; Intellia joined forces with Regeneron and Novartis; Mammoth signed deals with Bayer and Regeneron; and other collaborations continue to shift later‑stage risk off the smaller players’ books.

Doudna‑linked ventures are increasingly part of that pattern. Mammoth’s Regeneron tie-up brought in $100 million upfront, including equity, signaling that major biopharma is willing to pay for access to next‑generation editing tools even before first‑in‑class drugs hit pharmacies. Meanwhile, Eli Lilly’s roughly $1.3 billion acquisition of cardiovascular gene editing player Verve Therapeutics highlights that, while the commercial path is narrow, strategic buyers are willing to place sizable bets when the platform and clinical data line up.

Funding Winter, Long‑Term Vision

The broader biotech funding climate provides the backdrop—and the tension—for Doudna’s $1 billion campaign. Venture funding for gene editing and adjacent genetic‑medicine platforms has cooled markedly from 2021 peaks, with sector‑specific fund flows slipping to around $5.2 billion last year as investors rotate toward later‑stage, clinically validated assets. Even in this cooler climate, select gene and RNA editing startups are still closing nine‑figure rounds, but diligence is sharper and timelines are longer.

Against that environment, raising $1 billion for a quasi‑public‑good institute might sound audacious, but the pitch is straightforward: fund the underlying platform once, and reap compounding returns—both financial and social—as multiple companies and programs spin out over time. Board members and backers, including Yosemite’s Reed Jobs, liken Doudna’s potential impact to Marie Curie’s work on radiation: foundational, far‑reaching, and unlikely to be fully appreciated within a single investor’s lifetime. For long‑horizon capital, the time frame is measured less in quarters and more in generations.

Beyond Rare Disease: Fields, Farms, And Food Supply

One subtle but important element of the IGI strategy is diversification beyond human therapeutics. Doudna envisions gene editing playing a role in agriculture, including crops that require less fertilizer, emit fewer greenhouse gases, or improve yields under climate stress, with early pilots exploring traits that could be addressed via one‑time edits and modest ongoing changes in farming practices.

The economic model remains a work in progress: unlike one‑time therapies priced in the millions per patient, agricultural tools operate in a margin‑sensitive market where farmers scrutinize every input. Still, if gene editing can deliver durable yield or input‑cost improvements with a single intervention, the technology could embed itself into supply chains in a way that feels less like a biotech moonshot and more like a new line item on a seed‑company invoice.

No discussion of CRISPR commercialization is complete without addressing the ongoing intellectual property and ethical thicket surrounding the technology. A long‑running patent dispute between the University of California (linked to Doudna’s early work) and the Broad Institute has shadowed the sector for years, raising questions about who ultimately controls foundational editing rights, though Doudna has said the battle has had “zero” impact on her current work.

At the same time, regulatory and ethical frameworks are still catching up to the technology’s power, particularly around germline editing and potential misuse. Here, Doudna’s positioning of IGI as a hub that blends basic science, ethics, and policy may prove to be more than brand strategy; it offers a centralized forum to align investors, scientists, and regulators before headlines force a conversation. In a field where reputational risk can be as material as trial data, that kind of governance infrastructure can be a hidden asset on the balance sheet.

The Commercial Scorecard: Early Innings, Real Revenue Signals

For all the talk of hype cycles and funding winters, gene editing is no longer a pre‑revenue thought experiment. Vertex and CRISPR Therapeutics have advanced exa‑cel (the first CRISPR‑based therapy for sickle cell and beta thalassemia) to regulatory approvals in key markets, establishing not only technical feasibility but also a regulatory template and reimbursement benchmarks for one‑time gene editing therapies. Although no company out of Doudna’s immediate network has yet carried a drug fully through FDA approval, multiple programs are in or nearing clinical stages, and partnered pipelines are expanding.

The commercial challenge is now less “will the technology work?” and more “can it scale economically and equitably?” Doudna’s $1 billion plan aims to answer that by institutionalizing everything that has historically been improvised—company formation, IP strategy, regulatory navigation, manufacturing know‑how, and, crucially, the partnerships that hand off late‑stage development to those with the global reach to execute.

Why Investors Should Keep CRISPR On The Screen

For investors trained by the last three years to treat anything “early‑stage biotech” as a four‑letter word, gene editing might look like another science project waiting for a better tape. Yet beneath the volatility, a more durable story is emerging: a set of platforms transitioning from speculative narratives to regulated products, backed by a maturing web of pharma alliances and specialized capital.

In that context, Doudna’s $1 billion initiative is less a moonshot and more a deliberate attempt to build the enabling infrastructure around an already‑validated modality. If it works, CRISPR’s most important legacy may not be a single miracle cure, but a new playbook for how frontier biology graduates from the seminar room to the income statement—slowly at first, then all at once.

The Sources

  1. Forbes – “Jennifer Doudna’s $1 Billion Plan To Bring Gene Editing To Patients”
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/amyfeldman/2026/02/17/gene-editing-has-struggled-to-go-commercial-this-nobel-laureate-has-a-1-billion-plan-to-fix-that/[forbes]​
  2. Forbes – “This Nobel Laureate Has A $1 Billion Plan To Make Gene Editing Mainstream”
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/maggiemcgrath/2026/02/20/this-nobel-laureate-has-a-1-billion-plan-to-make-gene-editing-mainstream[forbes]​
  3. Substack – “Doudna Not in ‘Curio’ Business; Has $1 Billion Plan to Benefit Patients, Farmers, Planet”
    https://david293.substack.com/p/doudna-not-in-curio-business-has[david293.substack]​
  4. GenEngNews – “CRISPR Partnerships Seek Win-Win Situations”
    https://www.genengnews.com/topics/genome-editing/crispr-partnerships-seek-win-win-situations/[genengnews]​
  5. Fierce Biotech – “Biotech Fundraising Tracker 2025”
    https://www.fiercebiotech.com/biotech/fierce-biotech-fundraising-tracker-25[fiercebiotech]​
  6. Synthego – “Why IP Strategy Matters in CRISPR-Based Therapies”
    https://www.synthego.com/blog/the-current-state-of-ip-in-crispr-based-therapies/[synthego]​
  7. DealForma – “Biopharma Therapeutics and Platforms Venture Funding – Q2 2025 Review”
    https://dealforma.com/biopharma-therapeutics-and-platforms-venture-funding-q2-2025-review/[dealforma]​
  8. Nature Biotechnology – “Tough times for CRISPR startups”
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41587-025-02609-9[nature]​
  9. Fundraise Insider – “List of Funded Biotech Startups (2025–2026)”
    https://fundraiseinsider.com/blog/biotech-startups/[fundraiseinsider]​
  10. PMC – “No time to waste—the ethical challenges created by CRISPR”
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4641494/[pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih]​

Gilead’s $7.8 Billion Bet on Arcellx: When CAR‑T Goes Prime Time for Multiple Myeloma -( $ACLX $GLD $XBI $IBB )

Gilead Sciences (GLD) is paying up to $7.8 billion to acquire Arcellx (ACLX) , a longtime cell‑therapy partner, in a bid to turn a promising collaboration into a franchise‑defining pillar. Under the definitive agreement, Arcellx shareholders receive $115 per share in cash at closing plus a $5 contingent value right (CVR), implying a rich premium of roughly 70–80% to recent trading levels. The deal, already approved by both boards, is expected to close in the second quarter of 2026, pending customary regulatory and tender‑offer conditions.

Why Gilead Is Doubling Down on Anito‑cel

At the center of the transaction is anitocabtagene autoleucel, or anito‑cel, a BCMA‑directed CAR‑T therapy for relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma that already sits in Gilead’s Kite portfolio through a 2022 partnership. In the pivotal Phase 2 iMMagine‑1 study, anito‑cel posted an overall response rate in the mid‑ to upper‑90% range, with roughly two‑thirds to three‑quarters of patients achieving complete or stringent complete responses—numbers that would make even seasoned myeloma competitors glance twice at their spreadsheets. The therapy is backed by a biologics license application with a U.S. FDA decision expected by late 2026, positioning Gilead to own a late‑stage asset that could reshape treatment in heavily pretreated patients.

The Deal Math: CVRs, Premiums and Payoff Timelines

Gilead currently owns about 11.5% of Arcellx and will pay cash for the remaining 88.5%, reflecting its conviction that full control beats royalty math in the long run. The $5 CVR kicks in if cumulative global net sales of anito‑cel reach at least $6 billion from launch through the end of 2029, effectively turning future commercial execution into a performance‑based bonus pool. Management expects the acquisition to be accretive to earnings per share beginning in 2028, suggesting a classic biotech trajectory: years of investment upfront, followed by the hoped‑for “hockey‑stick” once uptake and manufacturing scale are in place. For Arcellx holders, the 70‑plus percent premium and an additional sales‑linked sweetener help soften the blow of surrendering independence just as their lead program nears the regulatory finish line.

Strategic Logic: From Collaboration to Control

The transaction formalizes what the market has increasingly suspected: Gilead wants cell therapy, and it wants it with both hands on the steering wheel. Since 2022, Kite and Arcellx have jointly developed and planned to co‑commercialize anito‑cel in multiple myeloma, with trials spanning a registrational Phase 2 and a Phase 3 head‑to‑head study against standard regimens such as pomalidomide, bortezomib and dexamethasone. By buying Arcellx outright, Gilead consolidates economics, simplifies governance and gains full say over future label expansions, combinations and pipeline follow‑ons—including next‑generation controllable CAR‑T constructs emerging from the same platform. In a market already populated by Bristol Myers Squibb and Johnson & Johnson, Gilead is signaling that it intends not only to play, but to pick the playlist.biospace+8

What It Could Mean for Multiple Myeloma Patients

Multiple myeloma remains stubbornly incurable, and response rates tend to fade with each additional line of therapy, leaving patients with diminishing options and increasing toxicity. Anito‑cel’s high response rates, deep remissions and manageable safety profile in heavily pretreated patients have generated cautious optimism that it could set a new bar for late‑line treatment. If approved, the therapy would add another BCMA‑targeted option to the armamentarium, with the potential for broader earlier‑line use if Phase 3 data are favorable. For now, patients and physicians will continue to navigate existing standards of care—but they can at least take some comfort in the fact that a big‑cap balance sheet just hitched itself to making this particular CAR‑T live up to its billing.

The Sources

  1. Gilead Sciences to Acquire Arcellx to Maximize Long-Term Potential of Anito-cel (Gilead press release)
    https://www.gilead.com/news/news-details/2026/gilead-sciences-to-acquire-arcellx-to-maximize-long-term-potential-of-anito-cel[gilead]​
  2. Gilead Sciences to Acquire Arcellx to Maximize Long-Term Potential of Anito-cel (Yahoo Finance syndication of Gilead release)
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gilead-sciences-acquire-arcellx-maximize-110100514.html[gilead]​

Google Buys Its Own Sunshine: Inside the $4.75 Billion Intersect Power Deal -( $GOOG $GOOGL )

Alphabet’s decision to acquire Intersect Power for roughly $4.75 billion is less a vanity green purchase and more a hard‑nosed bet that the next edge in artificial intelligence will be measured in megawatts as much as in model parameters. In one stroke, Google has turned from power customer to power producer, effectively buying its own on‑ramp to the future of clean, always‑on energy.


A Deal Sized for the AI Age

Alphabet agreed to acquire California‑based Intersect Power, a developer of utility‑scale solar and battery storage projects, in a transaction totaling about $4.75 billion in cash plus the assumption of debt, with closing expected in the first half of 2026. Intersect brings a portfolio of roughly 2.2 GW of operating or under‑construction solar projects and 2.4 GWh of battery storage today, with ambitions to grow to around 10.8 GW of capacity by 2028.

Crucially for Google’s scale, Intersect isn’t just rich in sun and storage; it is already locked in as a major buyer of First Solar modules through 2026 and has contracted for about 15.3 GWh of Tesla Megapack battery systems through 2030, positioning it among the largest grid‑scale battery customers globally. Intersect will continue to operate as an independent subsidiary under its existing brand, led by founder and CEO Sheldon Kimber, giving Alphabet in‑house expertise without dismantling the developer culture it is paying for.


From PPAs to Owning the Power Plant

For more than a decade, Big Tech’s decarbonization playbook revolved around signing long‑term power purchase agreements and boasting about “100% renewable” targets at investor days. Google’s move marks a notable break with that tradition: this is the first time a hyperscale cloud provider has directly acquired a major renewable energy developer rather than simply contracting for its output.

The motivation is not subtle. AI‑driven data centers are driving power demand that is straining U.S. grids, and interconnection queues in some regions now stretch seven to twelve years, a timeline that makes quarterly earnings calls feel like high‑frequency trading. By vertically integrating into development, Google gains direct control over siting, timing, and configuration of new capacity instead of waiting for utilities, regulators, and transmission planners to catch up.


Energy Parks: Where Data Meets Dirt

At the heart of the transaction is a concept Intersect has been championing: “energy parks” that co‑locate hyperscale data centers with utility‑scale solar and storage, all sitting behind the meter. A flagship example is the Quantum Clean Energy Project in Haskell County, Texas, which pairs about 640 MW of solar capacity with 1.3 GWh of battery storage alongside a new data center campus, targeting completion in late spring 2026.

By generating and storing power on‑site, these parks can bypass congested transmission lines and interconnection bottlenecks, turning grid delays from existential threat into mere background noise. The model effectively transforms electricity from a volatile external input into a partially controlled infrastructure asset, giving Google more predictable costs and a cleaner pathway to its 24/7 carbon‑free energy ambitions.


Securing the Battery and Solar Supply Chain

In an era when “supply chain” can still cause boardrooms to flinch, Intersect arrives with something close to an energy hardware futures book. The company has already secured a 2.4 GW solar module supply agreement with U.S. manufacturer First Solar through 2026, a meaningful hedge against both price volatility and import risk. On the storage side, its multi‑billion‑dollar contract for 15.3 GWh of Tesla Megapacks through 2030 gives Google access to one of the most sought‑after battery products at scale.

Those contracts, combined with Intersect’s existing portfolio of 2.2 GW of solar and 2.4 GWh of storage, mean Alphabet is not starting from zero; it is effectively stepping into a fully furnished clean‑energy platform. For AI infrastructure investors, this looks less like a discretionary ESG initiative and more like locking in long‑dated input costs for what has become a core production factor: reliable, carbon‑light electricity.


AI Infrastructure: When Capital Expenditures Go Electric

Alphabet has already guided that its 2026 capital expenditures for AI infrastructure could reach between $91 billion and $93 billion, up sharply from about $52.5 billion in 2024. Under that kind of spending curve, the line between “data center capex” and “energy capex” is blurring fast, and the Intersect deal underscores that the company now views them as two sides of the same ledger.

Intersect’s energy parks are designed precisely for AI‑heavy workloads, pairing multi‑gigawatt renewable generation with large‑scale battery systems and, where needed, firming resources to ensure around‑the‑clock availability. The acquisition builds on Alphabet’s earlier $800 million minority investment in Intersect’s development pipeline, effectively moving from preferred partner to full owner of the platform most closely aligned with its AI‑era load profile.


Competitive Pressure on the Hyperscaler Block

Google’s deal lands in a landscape where major cloud providers are racing not just for compute, but for the power to run it. Microsoft has inked what Brookfield describes as the largest‑ever renewable power transaction, agreeing to buy more than 10.5 GW of clean energy between 2026 and 2030, and Amazon and Meta have announced sizable clean energy procurements of their own.

Yet most of those moves still rely on third‑party developers and traditional contract structures, leaving Google as the first major hyperscaler to buy a large clean‑energy developer outright. If Intersect’s energy parks prove as effective at de‑risking AI growth as Alphabet hopes, it could pressure rivals to respond with acquisitions of their own, accelerating consolidation across both the renewable‑energy and data‑center industries.


What It Signals for Investors and the Grid

For investors, the Intersect acquisition reframes clean energy from a nice‑to‑have sustainability banner into a strategic moat for AI infrastructure. Owning a pipeline of multi‑gigawatt solar and battery projects—backed by contracted supplies from First Solar and Tesla—gives Alphabet a differentiated handle on one of the most constrained inputs in the AI era.

For the broader grid, however, the move invites a more nuanced question: as hyperscalers increasingly build behind‑the‑meter energy parks to serve private data castles, how will regulators, utilities, and communities balance system‑wide needs with corporate energy sovereignty? For now, Wall Street seems content to let Google chase its own sunshine, on the assumption that in the AI gold rush, it pays to own the power company supplying the picks and shovels.

The Sources


[1] Google acquires clean energy developer Intersect Power for nearly … https://pv-magazine-usa.com/2026/01/02/google-acquires-clean-energy-developer-intersect-power-for-nearly-5-billion/
[2] Analysis: Why Google Bought Intersect for AI Energy Supply https://intuitionlabs.ai/articles/google-intersect-acquisition-ai-energy
[3] Google acquires data centre and energy developer Intersect for US … https://www.energy-storage.news/google-acquires-data-centre-and-energy-developer-intersect-for-us4-75-billion/
[4] Google’s $4.75B Intersect Power Acquisition Marks New Era … – Introl https://introl.com/blog/google-intersect-power-acquisition-energy-vertical-integration-january-2026
[5] Tesla and Intersect Power: A Massive Battery Storage Partnership https://www.greendrive-accessories.com/blog/language/en/tesla-and-intersect-power-a-massive-battery-storage-partnership/
[6] [PDF] Intersect battery storage – Solar Power Solutions https://wholesalesolar.co.za/wp-content/uploads/Intersect-battery-storage_Fri-27-Oct-2023-26225.pdf
[7] Alphabet in $4.75 Billion Acquisition of Intersect Power | News https://www.clearygottlieb.com/news-and-insights/news-listing/alphabet-in-4-75-billion-acquisition-of-intersect-power
[8] Tesla lands 15.3 GWh Megapack supply contract – Energy Storage https://www.ess-news.com/2024/07/19/tesla-lands-15-3-gwh-megapack-supply-contract/
[9] Tesla Signs A Landmark Multi-Billion Dollar 15 GWh Megapack Deal https://globalcarbonfund.com/carbon-news/tesla-signs-a-landmark-multi-billion-dollar-15-gwh-megapack-deal/
[10] Big Tech is upending the clean energy landscape | PA Consulting https://www.paconsulting.com/newsroom/utility-dive-big-tech-is-upending-the-clean-energy-landscape-7-october-2024
[11] PowerBank Analyzes Shifting Hyperscaler Energy Acquisition … https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/powerbank-analyzes-shifting-hyperscaler-energy-acquisition-strategies-302672199.html
[12] Alphabet Deepens AI Strategy With $4.75 Billion Acquisition of … https://www.channelchek.com/news-channel/alphabet-deepens-ai-strategy-with-4-75-billion-acquisition-of-clean-energy-developer-intersect
[13] Alphabet Announces Agreement to Acquire Intersect to Advance … https://abc.xyz/investor/news/news-details/2025/Alphabet-Announces-Agreement-to-Acquire-Intersect-to-Advance-U-S–Energy-Innovation-2025-DVIuVDM9wW/default.aspx
[14] Google’s Intersect deal is much more than a green power play https://www.latitudemedia.com/news/googles-intersect-deal-is-much-more-than-a-green-power-play/
[15] Google Acquires Intersect Power for $4.75B to Secure AI Energy … https://www.linkedin.com/posts/evolving-ai_google-is-taking-a-direct-approach-to-activity-7411411028493897728-cpwt

Varda Space Aims to Turn Low Earth Orbit into Pharma’s New Production Line

The new space economy is quietly adding an unexpected aisle to the drugstore: a “made‑in‑orbit” shelf where tomorrow’s pills may be grown, not in stainless-steel vats, but in microgravity factories looping Earth at Mach 25.

Yes one day, your doctor’s prescription may arrive with a footnote: “Active ingredient crystallized in orbit.” That is the bet behind Varda Space Industries, a fast‑rising startup that wants to turn low Earth orbit into a specialty manufacturing zone for high‑value pharmaceuticals and other materials that behave better when gravity takes the day off.[1]

The Space Economy Graduates From Rockets to Remedies

For years, the “space economy” meant two things: big rockets and even bigger satellite constellations. Launch vehicles and communications infrastructure still dominate the revenue stack, but cheaper reusable rockets have cut launch costs per kilogram roughly tenfold, opening the door to more exotic business models. Among them is in‑space manufacturing, where companies leverage microgravity to make things that are either higher quality or simply impossible to produce on Earth, ranging from optical fibers to semiconductor wafers and now, potentially, active pharmaceutical ingredients.

The basic pitch is disarmingly simple: if gravity keeps getting in the way on Earth, remove gravity from the equation. In microgravity, fluids move differently, crystals grow more slowly and symmetrically, and impurities have a harder time sneaking into the lattice—conditions that can translate into purer, more uniform drug ingredients.

From SpaceX Console to Space Factory: Varda’s Origin Story

Varda’s founding story reads like a sequel to the New Space playbook. In January 2021, former SpaceX engineer Will Bruey, who worked on avionics and mission control for the Dragon spacecraft, teamed up with Founders Fund partner Delian Asparouhov to commercialize a thesis venture investors had been eyeing for years: once launch costs fall far enough, orbital manufacturing could make economic sense.

Early capital from Founders Fund and Lux Capital allowed the pair to move quickly from concept to hardware. Instead of building a full satellite bus from scratch, Varda initially bought spacecraft buses from Rocket Lab, layering its own manufacturing module and reentry capsule on top to get to orbit faster. The strategy paid off. In early 2024, Varda’s W‑1 mission successfully crystallized the HIV drug Ritonavir in low Earth orbit and returned the precious cargo to Earth intact—an early proof point that medicine could survive a fiery reentry with its structure, and value proposition, still in place.

Pharma Made in Orbit: How Microgravity Changes the Recipe

Most modern drugs, particularly pills, are built on crystals grown from solution. On Earth, gravity drives convection and sedimentation, constantly jostling the fluid around growing crystals and introducing defects, uneven growth, and sometimes less‑than‑ideal crystal forms. In low Earth orbit, those disturbances are dramatically reduced; crystals can grow more slowly, more evenly and, in some cases, into forms that are difficult to obtain on the ground.

The potential benefits for drugmakers are not just academic. Larger, more uniform crystals can improve how a drug dissolves, how stable it remains on the shelf, and which delivery routes become practical. Experiments with insulin on NASA’s Space Shuttle and with Merck’s cancer drug pembrolizumab (Keytruda) on the International Space Station have shown that space‑grown crystals can be dramatically larger and more ordered than their terrestrial equivalents, suggesting opportunities for new formulations, including moving some therapies from lengthy infusions to simpler injections.

Varda’s role is intentionally narrow and commercially focused. The company does not discover new molecules; instead, it takes existing active pharmaceutical ingredients from major drug companies and offers to grow alternative crystal forms or higher‑purity versions in orbit. If the improved crystals translate into better drugs or more efficient manufacturing on Earth, Varda becomes a kind of orbital contract manufacturer—albeit one that must file flight plans with the FAA.

The Winnebago Spacecraft: A Tiny Capsule With Big Ambitions

At the heart of the business is Varda’s W‑Series spacecraft, affectionately nicknamed “Winnebago.” Each mission pairs a one‑meter‑diameter reentry capsule—the pressurized “factory floor” where the pharmaceutical payload lives—with a satellite bus that provides power, communications, attitude control, and propulsion until it is time to come home.

The entire spacecraft weighs roughly 300 kilograms and is designed to endure reentry speeds exceeding Mach 25, relying on a NASA‑developed C‑PICA heat shield material that Varda is licensed to manufacture and integrate. The capsule is deliberately small, because the volumes required for high‑value active ingredients are modest, and because compact hardware can hitch a ride on SpaceX Falcon 9 rideshare missions, keeping launch costs lower and flight cadence higher. Varda has also partnered with propulsion specialist Benchmark Space Systems, whose thrusters help set up the precise entry burn that returns the capsule to a designated landing zone.

Over time, Varda’s ambitions center on scale rather than size. The company envisions an orbital fleet operating simultaneously, with missions W‑4 and W‑5 marking its transition to a vertically integrated satellite bus and multi‑mission operations. Management has sketched a path toward near‑monthly reentries by 2028, transforming orbital manufacturing from one‑off experiments into a repeatable industrial service.

Regulatory Firsts and the Fine Print of Reentry

Turning space into a pharmaceutical workshop requires not just engineering ingenuity but regulatory patience. Varda secured the first‑ever FAA Part 450 reentry license for a commercial capsule, initially for its W‑1 mission returning to Utah’s test range. That approval has since evolved into a vehicle operator license that allows routine reentries through 2029 without filing a full safety case for each flight—a crucial step if reentry is to become as mundane, and billable, as another manufacturing batch run.

Yet another, more terrestrial regulator looms: the U.S. Food and Drug Administration. While Varda’s missions to date have been focused on research and demonstration, any space‑manufactured drug destined for human use will still need to navigate standard FDA pathways such as New Drug Applications, complete with clinical data showing safety and efficacy regardless of where the active ingredient was produced. How the agency will apply its Current Good Manufacturing Practice inspections to facilities that orbit Earth for only a few weeks remains an open question, with legal experts suggesting some form of remote regulatory assessment may be required.

Government, Hypersonics, and the Side Business in Reentry Data

Pharmaceuticals may be the headline story, but Varda’s Winnebago capsules also double as testbeds for government customers keenly interested in hypersonic flight and atmospheric reentry. Through missions such as W‑2, W‑3, and W‑5, the company has carried payloads for NASA, the U.S. Air Force, and the U.S. Navy, including heat shield hardware, advanced inertial measurement units, and specialized data‑gathering instruments.

These missions serve dual purposes. They validate Varda’s own reentry systems while generating valuable data for defense and space agencies exploring how vehicles behave under extreme thermal and aerodynamic loads. Partnerships with firms like LeoLabs and Anduril further extend this role, using global radar networks and AI‑driven software to track orbital maneuvers and hypersonic reentries in real time. It is a reminder that in the space economy, logistics and test infrastructure can be as monetizable as the payloads themselves.

A Small Capsule in a Big Competitive Constellation

Varda is not alone in chasing microgravity manufacturing, and investors are taking note. According to PitchBook data, the company has raised about 328 million dollars across multiple funding rounds, including an 11 million dollar seed, a 42 million dollar Series A, an 88 million dollar Series B, and a 187 million dollar Series C led by Natural Capital and Shrug Capital with participation from high‑profile names such as Founders Fund, Khosla Ventures, General Catalyst, and Peter Thiel

Across the Atlantic, UK‑based Space Forge is developing reusable ForgeStar satellites to produce advanced materials and semiconductors in orbit and bring them back to Earth, offering a conceptually similar “factory‑plus‑reentry” model but with a different initial focus. Redwire, through its acquisition of Made In Space, supplies microgravity manufacturing hardware and infrastructure; Voyager and Vast are building commercial space stations that could host manufacturing payloads, potentially competing with or complementing free‑flying platforms like Varda’s. In this emerging ecosystem, Varda’s edge rests on its specialization in pharmaceuticals and its decision to own the full stack from manufacturing capsule through reentry logistics.

Economics, Challenges, and the Long View for Investors

For all the excitement, the economics of space manufacturing remain a work in progress. Launch, operations, and reentry still command a premium, which means only materials with very high value density—think specialty pharmaceuticals, novel fibers, or advanced semiconductors—have a shot at justifying the trip. Sustained revenue requires not only a steady queue of customers but also a reliable pipeline of launches and reentries; a factory that needs a rocket to start every production run is, by definition, tied to the cadence and reliability of the launch market.

Process control in microgravity, radiation‑hardened hardware, and the simple logistics of tracking, recovering, and transporting reentry capsules add further complexity. Perhaps the most understated risk is demand: pharmaceutical companies will want clear, quantifiable evidence that microgravity delivers better outcomes or new capabilities, not just more interesting conference slides. That proof, in turn, could require years of joint research, clinical trials, and regulatory reviews before revenue scales in line with venture‑backed expectations.

Why Wall Street Is Watching the “Zero‑G Molecule”

Still, the strategic logic is hard to ignore. If microgravity can consistently produce cleaner, more stable, or more effective active ingredients, the addressable market includes blockbuster drugs where even modest improvements in performance or manufacturability can be worth billions. With reusable rockets acting as a discounted elevator to orbit and with commercial space infrastructure maturing, the cost barrier is falling just as biotech and pharma continue to search for incremental edges in a competitive market.

In that sense, Varda’s Winnebago capsule is more than a high‑tech return vehicle; it is a tangible hedge on the idea that physics, not just chemistry, will shape the next generation of pharmaceuticals. If the thesis holds, the phrase “space‑grade” may soon apply less to satellites and more to the medicines in the average patient’s cabinet.


The Sources

  1. Morgan Stanley Research – “Varda Space: Space Manufacturing, Pharma Made in Orbit,” February 19, 2026 (analysts: Adam Jonas, Kallum L. Titchmarsh, Kristine T. Liwag, William Tackett, Justin M. Lang).
  2. Varda Space Industries – company materials cited within the Morgan Stanley report, including W‑Series (“Winnebago”) spacecraft specifications, mission descriptions (W‑1 through W‑6), and partnership disclosures (SpaceX, Rocket Lab, Southern Launch, Benchmark Space Systems, United Semiconductors, NASA).
  3. NASA – historical and technical references in the report: Skylab and Space Shuttle microgravity experiments, insulin crystal growth on mission STS‑95, ZBLAN optical fiber demonstrations, and C‑PICA thermal protection material developed at NASA Ames Research Center.
  4. Merck & Co. / ISS National Lab – microgravity pharmaceutical research on pembrolizumab (Keytruda) protein crystals conducted aboard the International Space Station, as described in the Morgan Stanley note’s discussion of ISS pharmaceutical activity.
  5. PitchBook – private‑market data summarized in the report for Varda Space historical funding rounds (seed, Series A, Series B, Series C) and Space Forge funding (including backing from NATO Innovation Fund, European Space Agency, and Intel).
  6. Space Forge – company overview and ForgeStar reusable orbital manufacturing platform description (microgravity materials and semiconductor manufacturing plus re‑entry logistics), as profiled in the “Notable Potential Competitors” section.
  7. Redwire (via Made In Space) – ISS additive manufacturing and microgravity production hardware, referenced as infrastructure competition/adjacency for in‑space manufacturing.
  8. Voyager Space / Starlab – commercial space station and microgravity research environment used as an example of space‑for‑space manufacturing platforms that could host pharmaceutical and biomanufacturing payloads.
  9. Vast – commercial space habitat and station developer whose microgravity labs are cited as another potential host for in‑orbit manufacturing and research payloads.
  10. University of Nevada–Reno – “In‑Space Manufacturing Technologies, Challenges, and Future Horizons” (2025) article cited in the report for broader context on in‑space manufacturing rationale and challenges.

Eupraxia’s Latest Raise: A Diffusphere-Fueled War Chest Aims at GI Disease -( $EPRX $IBB $XBI $SNY)

In a market that has grown wary of “story stocks,” Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: EPRX) just delivered something refreshingly old-fashioned: a fully closed, upsized equity offering that actually funds a clinical plan rather than a marketing slogan. The clinical‑stage biotech, which trades on both Nasdaq and the TSX under the ticker EPRX, has now secured more than US$60 million in fresh capital through a mix of common shares and pre‑funded warrants, with underwriters exercising their option in full.

At the center of the story is the company’s proprietary Diffusphere technology, an extended‑release delivery platform designed to localize drugs where they are needed most and keep them there at controlled levels. In an era when payors scrutinize every incremental benefit, a platform built around tissue‑targeted, durable exposure is the sort of “boring but beautiful” engineering that often ages better than the latest mechanism‑of‑the‑month.

The Deal: A Fully Subscribed Check, Not a Science Project

Eupraxia’s latest financing comes in the form of a U.S. and Canadian public offering of common shares and pre‑funded warrants, priced at US$7.00 per share and just under that for the warrants, which carry only a nominal residual exercise price. With underwriters taking up their over‑allotment option, gross proceeds tally to roughly US$63 million before fees and expenses, pushing the raise comfortably above the headline US$55 million originally signaled at pricing.

The structure is familiar to seasoned life‑science investors: all newly issued securities, no insider secondary component, and a standard 30‑day underwriters’ option to purchase additional shares. For existing shareholders, dilution is part of the package, but so is a materially strengthened balance sheet that management believes can carry the company through multiple value‑defining clinical and regulatory milestones over the next several years.

Where the Money Goes: Eosinophilic Esophagitis and Beyond

The lead destination for the new capital is EP‑104GI, Eupraxia’s flagship program for eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE), a chronic inflammatory condition that has moved from medical curiosity to recognized unmet need as diagnosis and awareness have improved. Management plans to use proceeds to complete ongoing preclinical work, advance Phase 2 studies, prepare a pivotal Phase 3 program, and scale manufacturing to match the ambitions of a potential commercial launch.

Importantly, the company is not stopping at a single indication; a portion of the funds is earmarked to broaden EP‑104GI into additional gastrointestinal targets, including esophageal strictures and fibrostenotic Crohn’s disease, along with new pipeline candidates that could ride the same delivery backbone. Layer in budget for business development, corporate infrastructure, intellectual‑property expansion, and the decidedly non‑glamorous line items of salaries and leases, and the raise reads less like a one‑off lifeline and more like a multi‑year operating plan.

Diffusphere’s Appeal: Local Control in a Systemic World

What keeps investors leaning into serial financings from a small Canadian biotech is not a single asset but the underlying proposition of Diffusphere itself. The platform is engineered to deliver prolonged, controlled exposure of therapeutics directly to diseased tissue, with the goal of improving efficacy and tolerability by limiting systemic spillover. In gastrointestinal disease, where anatomy, motility, and pH gradients conspire against conventional delivery, a system that can “park” drug where pathology lives has intuitive appeal.

That engineering‑first value proposition helps explain why the latest deal drew strong participation from specialized life‑science investors, who are betting that a scalable delivery chassis plus expanding indications can compound over time. It also sets a high bar: investors will now look for clean execution on upcoming clinical readouts and a clear path from elegant pharmacology to reimbursable products in markets that increasingly demand hard health‑economic data.

Investors’ Next Question: Can Execution Match the Capital?

With fresh capital in the bank and guidance that the balance sheet should now reach well into the second half of the decade, Eupraxia has effectively bought itself time—and scrutiny. The company’s history of returning to equity markets to fund EP‑104GI and its broader pipeline makes strategic sense in a data‑driven industry, but it also concentrates attention on whether each successive round translates into proportionate clinical and regulatory progress.

For now, the market has delivered its verdict on the latest chapter: underwriting demand was sufficient to close the deal on schedule, validate the valuation, and hand management the means to pursue its ambitions in EoE and beyond. The next verdict will come not from bankers, but from trial sites, regulators, and ultimately patients—an audience that tends to be far less forgiving but, when convinced, considerably more rewarding.

The Sources


[1] Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals Announces Closing of US$63.2 Million Public Offering Including Full Exercise of Underwriter Option https://finance.yahoo.com/news/eupraxia-pharmaceuticals-announces-closing-us-201000167.html
[2] Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals Raises $55 Million: Public Offering to… https://marketchameleon.com/articles/b/2026/2/19/eupraxia-pharmaceuticals-raises-55-million-public-offering-accelerates-clinical-development-pipeline-expansion
[3] Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals https://eupraxiapharma.com
[4] Eupraxia Prices $55 Mln Offering To Advance Diffusphere Pipeline https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/eupraxia-prices-55-mln-offering-advance-diffusphere-pipeline
[5] Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals https://eupraxiapharmaceuticals.com
[6] Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals Announces Closing of US$80.5 Million … https://www.turkmenistanbusinessjournal.com/article/852059924-eupraxia-pharmaceuticals-announces-closing-of-us-80-5-million-public-offering-including-full-exercise-of-underwriter-option
[7] Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals Announces Pricing of US$55 Million … https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/EPRX-T/pressreleases/296766/eupraxia-pharmaceuticals-announces-pricing-of-us55-million-public-offering-of-common-shares-and-pre-funded-warrants/
[8] Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals prices $55 million public offering https://www.investing.com/news/company-news/eupraxia-pharmaceuticals-prices-55-million-public-offering-93CH-4512681
[9] Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals Announces Proposed Public Offering https://www.stocktitan.net/news/EPRX/eupraxia-pharmaceuticals-announces-proposed-public-rv5gk8fa7wdy.html
[10] 0001171843-25-002740.txt https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1581178/000117184325002740/0001171843-25-002740.txt
[11] EUPRAXIA PHARMACEUTICALS INC. https://www.otcmarkets.com/filing/conv_pdf?id=18807589&guid=Mfb-knujO0d7B3h
[12] EUPRAXIA PHARMACEUTICALS INC. (Form – EDGAR Online https://content.edgar-online.com/ExternalLink/EDGAR/0001193125-24-010178.html?hash=ac0d25ba8fd86e27458f5859c6730592b86d3e6234ae1beb943364004ba5dd54&dest=d491327dex41_htm
[13] Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals Announces Pricing of US$55 Million … https://www.biospace.com/press-releases/eupraxia-pharmaceuticals-announces-pricing-of-us-55-million-public-offering-of-common-shares-and-pre-funded-warrants
[14] SUPPL – SEC.gov https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1581178/000119312525213255/d23895dsuppl.htm
[15] [PDF] EUPRAXIA PHARMACEUTICALS INC. – OTC Markets https://www.otcmarkets.com/filing/conv_pdf?id=18442058&guid=kmZ-kKBJJmwyvOh

February 20, 2026- Tariffs, Tantrums, and a 1.1% Gain: Wall Street’s Surprisingly Chill Week -( $EPRX $NOK $NVDA $OPEN Rise!)

US stocks finished the holiday‑shortened week ended Friday, February 20, 2026 higher, as a landmark Supreme Court decision scrapping President Trump’s emergency “Liberation Day” tariffs overshadowed softer growth data and firmer inflation readings.finance.

Index performance

  • S&P 500: up about 0.7% on Friday and roughly 1.1% for the week, leaving the index modestly positive year‑to‑date.
  • Nasdaq Composite: gained around 0.9% on Friday and about 1.5% over the week, again leading the major benchmarks as growth and tech shares outperformed.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: rose roughly 0.2–0.5% on Friday and about 0.25–0.3% for the week, lagging the tech‑heavy Nasdaq but still closing in the green.
  • The Russell 2000 small caps index lovely slightly .05% lower over the last 5-days.

A broad swath of trade‑sensitive and globally exposed names moved higher into the close, with transportation shares briefly up more than 1.5% at their intraday peak and several consumer and industrial stocks adding around 2%.

Macro data and Fed implications

The data backdrop was more mixed. Fourth‑quarter 2025 US GDP was revised down to about 1.4% annualized, a clear step down from roughly 4.4% in the prior quarter and below consensus, underscoring a noticeable loss of momentum as the economy exited last year. At the same time, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, core PCE for December, came in hotter than expected on both a monthly and yearly basis, reinforcing the message that disinflation is progressing but uneven and complicating the timing and size of potential 2026 rate cuts.

Investors also tracked signs of stress in parts of private credit after a high‑profile fund suspended withdrawals, renewing debate over pockets of leverage tied to software names under pressure from AI‑driven disruption. Even so, equity volatility remained contained and risk appetite improved as the policy news on tariffs shifted from open‑ended escalation toward somewhat clearer, if still evolving, guardrails.finance.

Supreme Court ruling on tariffs

The central driver of Friday’s rally was the Supreme Court’s 6–3 ruling that President Trump exceeded his authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) when he used emergency powers to impose sweeping, near‑global “Liberation Day” tariffs. The decision invalidates that emergency‑based framework and opens the door for companies to seek refunds on some levies already paid, an amount that could reach well into the hundreds of billions of dollars over time..

Markets welcomed the ruling as a reduction in the most unpredictable piece of the recent trade regime, especially for import‑heavy sectors such as retail, autos, industrials, and select technology hardware. Trade‑sensitive shares, including major manufacturers and consumer brands, climbed on the session as investors priced in potentially lower effective tariff costs and improved visibility on cross‑border supply chains. The decision also weighed modestly on the dollar and nudged Treasury yields higher, consistent with a “risk‑on” response and a reassessment of growth prospects if trade frictions ease at the margin.

What comes after “Liberation Day” tariffs

Even as the Court curtailed his use of IEEPA for broad, peacetime tariffs, President Trump moved quickly to signal a “Plan B.” In remarks Friday, he said he has ordered a new 10% “global tariff” on imports under different statutory authority, on top of existing duties, and administration officials reiterated that they will lean on other trade laws, including national‑security and unfair‑trade statutes, to preserve as much of the tariff structure as possible.

Crucially, the ruling does not touch tariffs imposed under Section 232 and other established tools, which still apply to a wide range of products—from metals and certain industrial inputs to some higher‑end technology components—so meaningful cost pressures remain for specific supply chains. For markets, that nuance matters: the immediate takeaway is relief from the broadest, most discretionary measures, but not a wholesale rollback of protectionism, leaving investors to game out the practical scope and timing of any new 10% blanket tariff and the likely responses of key trading partners.

Sector and market tone

Sector performance reflected this balance of relief and caution. Tech and growth stocks led gains on the week, helped by the view that a less chaotic tariff regime supports global hardware demand and AI‑related capex, even as some components remain under legacy duties. Transport, retail, and selected industrial names rallied on the prospect of easing import costs and more predictable trade rules, while more defensive, rate‑sensitive areas such as utilities and real estate lagged amid slightly higher yields and a firmer risk tone.

Overall, the week ended with a somewhat unusual mix: growth decelerating, inflation still sticky, parts of private credit flashing stress, but equities advancing as a single, highly visible policy overhang—the emergency tariff architecture—was at least partially resolved and replaced with a more conventional, if still contentious, trade policy debate.

VP Watchlist Updates

Below is an update‑style snapshot on the VP Watchlist names for the week, focused on recent catalysts, positioning, and narrative rather than precise price moves.

Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals (EPRX)

Eupraxia Pharmaceuticals Inc. (“Eupraxia” or the “Company”), a clinical-stage biotechnology company leveraging its proprietary Diffusphere™ technology designed to optimize local, controlled drug delivery for applications with significant unmet need, is pleased to announce the successful closing of its previously announced public offering (the “Offering”) of 7,607,145 common shares of the Company (the “Common Shares”), which includes the full exercise of the option to purchase additional shares granted to the underwriters, at a price to the public of US$7.00 per Common Share, and pre-funded warrants to purchase up to 1,428,571 Common Shares in lieu thereof (the “Pre-Funded Warrants”) at a price of US$6.99999 per Pre-Funded Warrant, which equals the public offering price per Common Share less the C$0.000001 per share exercise price of each Pre-Funded Warrant, for gross proceeds of approximately US$63.2 million, before deducting the underwriting commissions and estimated expenses incurred in connection with the Offering.“We are pleased to complete this financing, allowing us to significantly expand our pipeline, reach several additional development milestones with EP-104GI for eosinophilic esophagitis, and make meaningful progress towards commercial readiness,” said James Helliwell, CEO of Eupraxia. “We appreciate the support from both existing and new investors as we execute our mission and pursue the next phase of growth for Eupraxia.” Cantor and LifeSci Capital acted as joint book-running managers for the Offering. Bloom Burton and Craig-Hallum also acted as co-managers for the Offering. As previously stated, the Company intends to use the net proceeds from the Offering primarily for the continued advancement of EP-104GI for Eosinophilic Esophagitis, including the completion of ongoing preclinical studies, and Phase 2 clinical trials, preparations for a Phase 3 clinical trial including the related regulatory submissions, and manufacturing activities, and to undertake the necessary commercial/market development activities to prepare for the eventual product launch. The Company also intends to use a portion of the proceeds to accelerate and expand its plans to pursue clinical studies with EP-104GI in multiple additional gastrointestinal indications, including in esophageal strictures and fibrostenotic Crohn’s disease. A portion of the proceeds will be allocated to research and development of additional pipeline candidates, business development initiatives, and general corporate purposes, which may include but are not limited to employee salaries, working capital, leases for facilities, administrative expenses, and capital expenditures. The Company may also use a portion of the proceeds to expand its intellectual property portfolio and strengthen its corporate infrastructure to support future growth.

Modular Medical (MODD)

  • Closed at $.4922, up +10.11% over the last 5-days. Has been trading as a diabetes‑tech name, with shares reacting to execution milestones around its Pivot tubeless patch pump platform.Earlier this month, the company began production of validation lots for its disposable cartridge and infusion set, keeping it on track for a planned commercial launch in the first quarter of 2026, contingent on FDA 510(k) clearance—an event path that positions upcoming regulatory decisions as key stock catalysts.
  • Earlier this month, the company began production of validation lots for its disposable cartridge and infusion set, keeping it on track for a planned commercial launch in the first quarter of 2026, contingent on FDA 510(k) clearance—an event path that positions upcoming regulatory decisions as key stock catalysts.

FIGS, Inc. (FIGS)

FIGS, the direct‑to‑consumer healthcare apparel brand, operates at the intersection of e‑commerce and specialty retail, with a loyal professional customer base and a growing product portfolio. While macro headwinds and digital‑ad volatility have pressured some consumer names, FIGS’ brand equity in the medical community and ongoing product innovation offer levers for renewed growth as conditions normalize.

GeoVax Labs (GOVX)

DoubleVerify (DV)

  • DV traded in the context of that modest risk‑off tone closing at $9.59; no major company‑specific headline surfaced in the reviewed sources.
  • DoubleVerify continues to benefit from secular tailwinds in digital ad verification and brand safety as advertisers prioritize measurable, fraud‑free impressions across social, CTV, and open web channels. In an environment where macro uncertainty still pressures marketing budgets, DV’s performance‑oriented value proposition and recurring‑revenue profile keep it well positioned within the ad‑tech stack.

The InterGroup Corporation (INTG)

  • The InterGroup Corporation, a small‑cap real estate and hospitality‑focused holding company, and closed at $27.75 on Friday. Recent filings and commentary highlight that results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, benefited from improved hotel metrics and gains on real estate transactions, even as the company continues to carry substantial mortgage and subordinated note obligations. With a market capitalization in the low‑$60 million range and thin trading, INTG remains a tightly held, event‑driven real estate story where periodic asset sales and refinancing activity can materially influence quarterly earnings.

Serina Therapeutics (SER, $1.62)

  • Serina Therapeutics, a clinical-stage biotechnology company advancing drug candidates enabled by its proprietary POZ Platform™ drug optimization technology, announced (Feb. 19) that the first patient has been enrolled in the Company’s Phase 1b registrational trial evaluating. The Phase 1b registrational study is designed to evaluate the safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics, and preliminary efficacy of SER-252 in patients with advanced Parkinson’s disease whose symptoms are inadequately controlled by current standard-of-care therapies. Serina remains on track to initiate dosing during the current quarter, consistent with previously disclosed guidance.

Volato Group, Inc. (SOAR) & M2i Global, Inc. (MTWO)

  • Volato and M2i Global reaffirmed their goal of closing their business combination in the first quarter of 2026, citing steady advancement through SEC review and integration planning as they move toward a combined listing. The deal, originally announced in 2025, will effectively transition Volato from a pure‑play private aviation operator into a diversified platform spanning aviation technology and critical minerals, with M2i shareholders expected to own the majority of the combined entity. Operationally, the partnership is already visible: the two companies recently initiated their first shipment of titanium ore from Western Australia to the United States from Titanium X, underscoring how the critical‑minerals vertical could become a meaningful growth engine as domestic supply‑chain security rises in strategic importance.
  • On Feb. 4, M2i Global,Inc.along with Volato Group, Inc. announced that Titanium X has initiated its first shipment of titanium ore from Western Australia to the U.S. under its collaboration agreement.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • NVDA closed near $189.82, +1.54% over the last 5-days.
  • Nvidia stays at the center of the AI trade as hyperscale and enterprise demand for accelerated computing remains robust, even as some of its high‑end H‑series chips remain subject to legacy Section 232 tariff structures. The Supreme Court decision removes one layer of tariff uncertainty, and while new trade measures could emerge, the company’s strong pricing power and product cycle momentum continue to underpin the bull case.

McDonald’s (MCD)

  • Closed at $329.23. Options data around the February 2026 expiries highlight active positioning near the 300–305 strike range, consistent with expectations for steady but not explosive upside from here.
  • McDonald’s continues to showcase defensive attributes with a combination of resilient traffic, disciplined pricing, and an increasingly digital‑first operating model. In a world of uneven growth and sticky services inflation, the brand’s value positioning and global scale keep it a core holding for many income and quality‑growth investors.

Nokia (NOK)

  • Nokia closed at $7.77, +11.48% over the last 5-day and remains a value‑tilted telecom and network‑equipment play that is trading more with global cyclical and communications hardware sentiment than with high‑beta tech, and it did not appear as a major driver in today’s U.S.‑centric headlines.

Opendoor (OPEN)

The Sources

  1. Yahoo Finance – “Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq jump to post weekly gains as Supreme Court strikes down Trump tariffs”
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/live/stock-market-today-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-jump-to-post-weekly-gains-as-supreme-court-strikes-down-trump-tariffs-210043602.html[ca.finance.yahoo]​
  2. Yahoo Finance (UK/CA mirrors of same coverage)
    https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-today-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-jump-to-post-weekly-gains-as-supreme-court-strikes-down-trump-tariffs
    https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-today-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-jump-to-post-weekly-gains-as-supreme-court-strikes-down-trump-tariffs-000111638.htmlfinance.yahoo+1
  3. Investopedia – “Markets News, Feb. 20, 2026: Stocks Rise After Supreme Court …”
    https://www.investopedia.com/stock-market-today-dow-jones-s-and-p-500-02202026-11910464[investopedia]​
  4. Reuters – “Wall Street ends higher after Supreme Court rules against Trump tariffs”
    https://www.reuters.com/business/us-stock-futures-muted-ahead-economic-data-2026-02-20/[reuters]​
  5. Nasdaq – “S&P 500 Gains 0.7% As Supreme Court Strikes Down Tariffs”
    https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stock-market-today-feb-20-sp-500-gains-07-supreme-court-strikes-down-tariffs[nasdaq]​
  6. Nasdaq – “Stock Market News for Feb 20, 2026”
    https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stock-market-news-feb-20-2026[nasdaq]​
  7. Zacks – “Stock Market News for Feb 20, 2026”
    https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2872566/stock-market-news-for-feb-20-2026[zacks]​
  8. Fox 32 Chicago – “US stocks remain relatively calm after Supreme Court strikes down Trump’s tariffs”
    https://www.fox32chicago.com/news/us-stocks-remain-relatively-calm-after-supreme-court-strikes-down-trumps-tariffs[fox32chicago]​
  9. Supreme Court / legal coverage – SCOTUSblog “Supreme Court strikes down tariffs”
    https://www.scotusblog.com/2026/02/supreme-court-strikes-down-tariffs/[scotusblog]​
  10. GBH News – “Supreme Court strikes down Trump’s sweeping tariffs, upending central plank of economic agenda”
    https://www.wgbh.org/news/national/2026-02-20/supreme-court-strikes-down-trumps-sweeping-tariffs-upending-central-plank-of-economic-agenda[wgbh]​
  11. Finance & Commerce – “U.S. Supreme Court strikes down Trump’s global tariffs”
    https://finance-commerce.com/2026/02/supreme-court-blocks-trump-ieepa-tariffs/[finance-commerce]​
  12. Wall Street Journal Live Coverage – “Trump Says He Will Impose 10% Tariff Under Different Authority”
    https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-us-gdp-report-02-20-26[wsj]​
  13. Forbes – “Markets Rise After Supreme Court Strikes Down Tariffs”
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/martinadilicosa/2026/02/20/markets-rise-after-supreme-court-strikes-down-tariffs/[forbes]​
  14. Yahoo Finance – “Trump says he’s enacted a 10% global tariff by executive order”
    https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/latest-supreme-court-strikes-down-153617294.html[ca.finance.yahoo]​

Healthcare’s Favorite Scrub Maker Is Quietly Stitching a Bigger Future for FIGS

FIGS, Inc. (NYSE: FIGS) has built a rare position in retail: a founder-led, direct-to-consumer brand that is simultaneously fashion-forward and mission-driven, with a loyal base of healthcare professionals who treat their scrubs almost like a uniformed fan club. The company designs technically advanced apparel that blends comfort, durability, function and style, and it increasingly wraps that product around a lifestyle and community narrative rather than a simple transaction.

That strategy matters as FIGS heads into its next earnings catalyst, with the company set to release fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results on February 26, 2026, followed by a conference call and webcast that will update investors on its growth and margin trajectory.

Earnings on Deck: A Scrub Check for the Business

FIGS plans to report its Q4 and full-year 2025 results after the U.S. market close on February 26, 2026, with management hosting an earnings call the same afternoon at 2:00 p.m. PT / 5:00 p.m. ET. Ahead of the call, the company will post a financial highlights presentation on its investor relations site, a now-standard practice that gives investors a structured look at key metrics, margins and strategic priorities.

Recent commentary around its 2025 trajectory has emphasized healthy gross margins approaching 70%, disciplined promotional activity, and operating leverage as the company laps prior-year investments in SG&A. Management has also pointed to improving trends in new customer acquisition and average order value, supported by product mix refinement and more efficient returns and logistics operations.

From Scrubs to Spotlight: FIGS Steps Onto the Olympic Stage

If you want a tell on where FIGS sees its brand going, consider its latest headline partnerships rather than its SKU count. The company recently announced a collaboration with skiing legend Lindsey Vonn tied to her ultimate comeback at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics, extending FIGS’ reach from emergency rooms to the Olympic arena. In parallel, FIGS has become the first-ever brand to outfit the Team USA Medical Team at an Olympic and Paralympic Winter Games, putting its healthcare-first identity literally on the global stage.

These moves do more than sell scrubs; they signal a deliberate push to anchor FIGS as the default uniform for elite caregivers, whether in hospitals or high-performance sports environments. For a brand that trades on trust, utility and community, aligning with the medical professionals behind Team USA offers credibility that no billboard could match, while Lindsey Vonn’s comeback narrative mirrors the resilience of the company’s core customer base.

Community, TEAMS and Hubs: Infrastructure Behind the Brand Glow

Beneath the headline partnerships, FIGS has been investing in infrastructure that aims to turn episodic demand into durable, system-level relationships. The company’s TEAMS platform targets institutional buyers and healthcare systems, designed to capture legacy uniform programs and nudge them toward modern, customizable solutions. Management has been adding talent to nurture existing institutional relationships and cultivate new ones, while deploying updated technology to make ordering and customization more seamless.

At the same time, FIGS has been rolling out Community Hubs, physical touchpoints that support brand storytelling, product discovery and deeper engagement with healthcare professionals. Capital expenditures have included investments in three new hubs, which the company sees as a foundation for long-term growth, international expansion and a broader lifestyle positioning around healthcare workers.

The Investment Angle: A Brand in “Healthy Condition”

For investors, FIGS’ recent press flow sketches the outline of a company moving from category disruptor to category standard-bearer. The upcoming Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings release will update the scorecard on net revenue growth, adjusted EBITDA margins and cash deployment after a year of tighter promotions and operational optimization. Meanwhile, partnerships with Lindsey Vonn and the Team USA Medical Team suggest a brand that is increasingly comfortable competing for cultural mindshare, not just closet space.

It’s a combination that, if executed well, could leave FIGS with what many retailers covet but few achieve: a high-margin, direct-to-consumer engine wrapped around a community that proudly wears the logo to work every day. In Wall Street terms, FIGS is effectively trying to prove that “premium” and “practical” can coexist on the same income statement—and, judging by its latest moves, it seems determined to keep those numbers, and those scrubs, neatly pressed.

The Sources


[1] FIGS Announces Date of Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 … https://www.barchart.com/story/news/57040/figs-announces-date-of-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2025-earnings-release-conference-call-and-webcast
[2] FIGS Announces Date of Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 … https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260205963664/en/FIGS-Announces-Date-of-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2025-Earnings-Release-Conference-Call-and-Webcast
[3] FIGS Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call https://ir.wearfigs.com/events-and-presentations/event-details/2026/FIGS-Fourth-Quarter-Fiscal-2025-Earnings-Conference-Call/default.aspx
[4] Quarterly Results – Financials – FIGS, Inc. https://ir.wearfigs.com/financials/quarterly-results/default.aspx
[5] [PDF] FIGS, Inc. (FIGS) https://s202.q4cdn.com/315845995/files/doc_financials/2025/q3/FIGS-3Q25-Transcript.pdf
[6] News – FIGS, Inc. https://ir.wearfigs.com/news/default.aspx
[7] FIGS, Inc. – Investor Relations https://ir.wearfigs.com/overview/default.aspx
[8] FIGS, Inc. (FIGS) Latest Press Releases & Corporate News https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/FIGS/press-releases/
[9] FIGS Inc. published an update to their financial calendar https://www.itiger.com/news/2609281581
[10] FIGS Announces Date of Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 … https://ir.wearfigs.com/news/news-details/2026/FIGS-Announces-Date-of-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2025-Earnings-Release-Conference-Call-and-Webcast/default.aspx
[11] FIGS, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FIGS) Press Releases | Nasdaq https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/figs/press-releases
[12] FIGS Releases Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2021 Financial Results https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1846576/000095017022003127/figs-ex99_1.htm
[13] Stock Info https://ir.wearfigs.com/stock-info/default.aspx
[14] FIGS insider plans sale of 22,690 Class A shares | FIGS SEC Filing https://www.stocktitan.net/sec-filings/FIGS/144-figs-inc-sec-filing-753cef15bad1.html
[15] FIGS Announces Date of Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 … https://finance.yahoo.com/news/figs-announces-date-fourth-quarter-210500173.html

Earnings, Algorithms, PCE and Iran: What Could Possibly Go Wrong? -( $DIA $QQQ $SPY $VIX )

Wall Street closed Thursday walking a now-familiar tightrope: cheering resilient earnings and AI-fueled innovation while eyeing rising US-Iran tensions and a looming inflation check that could jostle the Federal Reserve’s carefully choreographed exit from peak rates.

Futures Lean Green As Geopolitics Heat Up

US stock futures tilted higher late Thursday, hinting at a tentative rebound after a choppy cash session that saw major indexes wobble under the weight of higher oil and headline risk out of the Middle East. The setup captures a market increasingly conditioned to price in geopolitical flare-ups without abandoning its core belief that the US economy remains sturdy enough to weather higher-for-longer rates.

  • S&P 500 futures edged up as traders weighed a modest weekly gain against elevated volatility in single stocks.
  • Nasdaq futures firmed, positioning the tech-heavy benchmark to extend an early effort to break a five-week losing streak.
  • Dow futures also ticked higher, signaling a steadier open after recent swings tied to heavyweight components’ earnings.

One could say the market has adopted a new routine: read the headlines, glance at oil, then go back to debating AI valuations.

Oil Near Six-Month High, Inflation Gauge Ahead

Energy markets told a more anxious story, with crude hovering near six-month highs as investors digested reports of the largest US military buildup in the Middle East since the early 2000s and a ticking deadline from President Donald Trump for negotiations with Iran. Brent traded near 72 dollars a barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovered around 67 dollars, levels that quietly reinsert an energy risk premium into inflation and growth forecasts.

The timing is delicate.

  • On Friday, investors will parse the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, for signs that price pressures are cooling convincingly enough to keep rate-cut hopes alive later this year.
  • A fresh uptick tied to energy could complicate that narrative, especially with the 10-year Treasury yield still anchored above 4 percent as markets debate how far the Fed can go in easing without reigniting inflation.

For the central bank, the combination of resilient demand, firm labor markets, and pricier oil is the monetary-policy equivalent of being asked to juggle while reading the fine print.

Earnings Season: Less Euphoria, More Cross-Examination

Beneath the macro noise, Wall Street is grinding through the final innings of a contentious earnings season defined less by broad disappointment and more by a ruthless repricing of tech and AI expectations. Investors have punished companies seen as vulnerable to AI disruption even when headline results beat estimates, a pattern that has hit industries as diverse as software, legal services, and online travel.

  • Some legacy platforms in travel and e-commerce have watched their shares sell off despite solid profits, as markets fret over AI-enabled competitors that promise sleeker user experiences and lower costs.
  • Other tech names at the center of the AI buildout have faced a different challenge: living up not only to lofty earnings expectations but also to storylines that priced in years of flawless execution.

The result is a market that still believes in AI’s long-term potential but is no longer willing to pay science-fiction multiples for business plans that read like early-stage screenplays.

Consumers, Big-Box Retail, and the Quiet Strength of the US Economy

If investors are searching for a real-time pulse of the US consumer, big-box retailers have again become must-read earnings reports. Recent results from a leading retail giant showed solid performance for the prior fiscal year but a more cautious profit outlook, reflecting shoppers who remain willing to spend but are increasingly price-sensitive and selective.

  • The labor market, while cooling from peak tightness, continues to show resilience, with jobless claims signaling that layoffs are not spiraling.
  • That backdrop supports steady consumer demand even as higher borrowing costs pinch parts of the economy from housing to small-business lending.

For now, Main Street appears to be doing its part in keeping the expansion alive, even if it occasionally trades name brands for store labels.

Markets at the Crossroads: Risk Premium Meets AI Premium

Taken together, Thursday’s setup leaves investors juggling two competing premiums: one tied to geopolitical and energy risk, the other to the still-powerful promise of AI-driven productivity. The S&P 500 is on track for a modest weekly gain, while the Nasdaq is trying to snap its losing streak, suggesting that, for all the angst, money has not yet abandoned the growth story.

The path forward may hinge on three questions:

  • Does the US-Iran standoff escalate into a sustained oil shock or fade into the background as prior flare-ups have?
  • Does PCE inflation cooperate enough to give the Fed room to ease without spooking bond markets?
  • Do AI leaders and would-be disruptors prove their earnings power at a pace that justifies their valuations rather than merely their narratives?

For now, Wall Street seems content to keep both hands on the wheel: one eye on crude, one eye on chip stocks, and a healthy respect for the notion that markets, like diplomats, can only ignore rising tension for so long.

The Sources


[1] Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures rise as US-Iran … https://finance.yahoo.com/news/live/stock-market-today-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-futures-rise-as-us-iran-tensions-rise-pce-inflation-looms-000113842.html
[2] Yahoo Finance – Stock Market Live, Quotes, Business & Finance News https://finance.yahoo.com
[3] Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures rise as US-Iran … https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-today-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-futures-rise-as-us-iran-tensions-rise-pce-inflation-looms-000113842.html
[4] Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures steady as US-Iran tensions rise, PCE … https://finance.yahoo.com/news/live/stock-market-today-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-futures-steady-as-us-iran-tensions-rise-pce-inflation-looms-000113385.html
[5] Economic News and Analysis – Yahoo Finance https://finance.yahoo.com/topic/economic-news/
[6] US stock indexes drift lower as Walmart swings and oil prices rise https://www.wdrb.com/news/national/us-stocks-slip-as-oil-prices-rise-on-worries-about-a-potential-us-iran-conflict/article_c6c30cc3-149f-54bd-8aaa-31768f9c898e.html
[7] S&P 500 Price, Real-time Quote & News – Google Finance https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en
[8] S&P 500 (^GSPC) Charts, Data & News – Yahoo Finance https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/
[9] US stocks fall as oil prices climb again on worries about a potential … https://www.piquenewsmagazine.com/the-mix/us-stocks-fall-as-oil-prices-climb-again-on-worries-about-a-potential-us-iran-conflict-11897901

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