U.S. equities finished modestly lower on Monday as a sharp move higher in crude oil renewed inflation concerns ahead of this week’s key U.S. inflation data. The session reflected measured risk reduction rather than broad capitulation: volatility rose, technology lagged, and energy…
Week ending Friday, August 7, 2026 — U.S. equities finished the week decisively higher, led by technology and smaller-capitalization shares. The market’s message was nuanced: economic activity indicators remained firm, but July’s unexpected payroll decline reinforced the view that the labor market…
The July employment report arrived with the subtlety of a fire alarm in a library: the U.S. economy shed 23,000 jobs, well below forecasts for a gain, while prior months were revised lower. Yet for markets, a softer labor print need not…
All major U.S. stock indexes finished lower Thursday as investors weighed fresh geopolitical risks in the Middle East, firmer Treasury yields and a murky Federal Reserve outlook against strong but increasingly priced-in enthusiasm around artificial intelligence and corporate earnings. The S&P 500…
SMBC's Joe Lavorgna’s message is simple enough to fit on a coffee-stained napkin: inflation is not done misbehaving, and the Fed may need to hike rather than hug the pause button. The market, meanwhile, is still leaning toward “no change,” which means…
Kevin Warsh’s first meeting as Fed chair ended with exactly what futures markets had been pricing for days: a clean “hold” on the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75%. No surprise on the headline, but the subtext was market‑moving: a more…
Negative real interest rates, an AI‑driven productivity boom, and a government that may once again lean on “financial repression” could be setting the stage for a multi‑year equity run in select corners of the market. In such a regime, cash may not…
America’s economy is starting to look like the letter K drawn by an urban planner: straight lines for the haves, sharp angles for the have‑nots, and a few confused arrows in between. At the center of the story are homeowners, shoppers, and…
Scott Bessent is betting that America’s inflation problem is about to go from front‑page headline to back‑page footnote just as Kevin Warsh takes the helm at the Federal Reserve—and he sounds almost cheerful about it.
A New Fed Chair, A New Inflation…
April’s consumer price index didn’t exactly crash the party, but it did show up with an extra guest: a touch more inflation than markets ordered. Year‑over‑year CPI rose about 3.8% in April, marginally topping economists’ expectations of roughly 3.7% and marking a…
