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Amazing? Frothy?…Regardless, Dow 30k & Nasdaq 12k Are Here!

By John F. Heerdink, Jr.

Yes folks we indeed closed over 30k on the Dow and 12k on the Nasdaq today. We are also possibly peeking at 4k on the S&P 500 and 2k on the Russell 2000. These are all levels that we have never seen before as the recent melt up and bull market rush continues across the markets.  It seems like only yesterday that we were patting ourselves on the backs after we hit 20k on the Dow 30 and also running for the hills earlier this year when COVID-19 hit us across the world and simultaneously slammed the markets. Amazing how a few days and months can truly change attitudes and fortunes alike. Is it frothy? Maybe so. It definitely feels to good to be true to say the least, but when the party is raging why not smile and enjoy it while it lasts…

Now specifically for today, overall it seemed that the markets moved higher on the backs of a continued news flow from the likes of retail giant Dollar Tree (DLTR) ($111.35/share, +14.1%), which delivered better than expected earnings report. We also saw jumps in marquis names across the board adding to the momentum. We also received peace regarding the presidential situation as it was reported that the General Services Administration will be releasing funds to assist the Biden administration to move into office therefore essentially closing the the door on the Trump election protests and lawsuits.

At the end of the session, the S&P 500 closed at 3,635.41 (+1.62%), the Dow 30 closed at 30,046.24 (+1.54%), the tech heavy Nasdaq closed at 12,036.79 (+1.31%), & the small caps on the Russell 2000 finished at 1,853.53 (+1.94%). 

The energy sector (+5.2%), the financials sector (+3.5%), & the materials sector (+2.5%) led all 10 of the eleven sectors that finished in the green with only the real estate sector losing ground by .03%.

The heavily weighted & popular FAANGs ended up across the board and ended as follows as the rotation continued:  Apple (AAPL) ($115.17, +1.16%), Amazon (AMZN) ($3,118.06, +.63%), Alphabet (GOOG) ($1,768.88, +1.96%), Facebook (FB) ($276.92, +3.16%) & Netflix (NFLX) closed at $482.88/share, +1.31%.  

Elon Musk’s Tesla (TSLA) closed at $555.38/share, +6.43%, now having realized +36% rise in the past 6-sessions. Chinese EV concern NIO Limited (NIO) closed at $53.51/share down 3.38% after establishing yet another all-time high of $57.20. Ideanomics, Inc. (IDEX) closed at $3.15/share up another 20.23% up over 90% in last 2 days aft hitting a new 52-week high of $4.75 today. This move came after yesterday’s announcement that they were doubling their investment in California-based Solectrac, Inc., which makes battery-powered electric tractors.

Leading provider of zero emission hydrogen engines and fueling solutions, Plug Power (PLUG), closed $26.72/share down .56% after stabbing a new all time high of $28.70 today. A Monday night announcement confirmed that they had sold 38M shares priced at $22.25/shares raising a whopping $845.5M which represented about 9.1% of the shares outstanding. 

Jumia Technologies (JMIA), an e-commerce and digital payments company in Africa, closed at $30.40/share up another .86% today  and reaching a new all-tie high of $33.42. On November 10th, Jumia reported Q2 2020 earnings highlighting gross profit increased by 22% Y/Y, operating losses decreased by 49% y/y & Jumiapay total payment volume increased by 50% y/y. 

GOLD, SILVER & OIL

Silver prices closed a US $23.34/oz, -.26 & gold prices closed at US $1,809/oz, -27. North American silver and gold producer Hecla Mining Company (HL) closed at $4.70/share (-3.69%). HL’s 52-week range is $1.40 – $6.79. Recently, Hecla announced Q3 2020 financial and operating results. Phillips S. Baker, Jr., Hecla’s President and CEO stated, “Because of our strong operating performance and higher prices, Hecla had record adjusted EBITDA, generated the most free cash flow in a decade and repaid our revolver in full. These accomplishments were achieved because of our workforces’ resiliency and our commitment to health and safety. With the Lucky Friday ramp-up ahead of schedule, the expected improvements at Casa Berardi, and our modest planned capital expenditures, we are well positioned to further strengthen our balance sheet, increase exploration activities, and pay our enhanced dividend.” Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD) closed at $24.19/share, -1.1%. 

MACRO

The macroeconomic schedule offered the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index report which ended down at 96.1 in November. The September S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index report confirmed a rise by 6.6% while the September FHFA Housing Price Index report confirmed a rise by 1.7%.

MONEY

The 2-yr treasury yield dropped by 1 basis point to end at .16% while the 10-yr yield moved 2 basis points higher to end at .88%. The U.S. Dollar Index weakened closing at 92.16. 

OIL

Oil prices kept moving higher rising 4.2% to end at $44.89/bbl.

TOMORROW

Tomorrow’s macroeconomic calendar will deliver the weekly Initial and Continuing Claims report, the New Home Sales report for October, the Personal Income and Spending report for October, & the FOMC Minutes from the November meeting.

WATCH LIST

  • Fate Therapeutics, Inc. (FATE) closed at $55.27/share, +1.81% today after establishing a new-all-time record high of $56.50/share.
    • Fate is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to the development of programmed cellular immunotherapies for cancer and immune disorders.
    • Fate recently reported business highlights and financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2020. Scott Wolchko, President and Chief Executive Officer of Fate Therapeutics stated, “The clinical data across our iPSC product platform continue to solidify our conviction that multiple doses of iPSC-derived NK cells can be administered off-the-shelf in the outpatient setting, are well-tolerated, and can drive anti-tumor activity, including in combination with monoclonal antibody therapy. We have now expanded the scope of clinical investigation for FT516 to solid tumors as well as for FT596 to chronic lymphocytic leukemia after observing clinical activity in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma at the first dose level. In addition, we have initiated first-in-human investigation of the first-ever CRISPR-edited, iPSC-derived cell therapy FT538, which incorporates three engineered elements to enhance multiple mechanisms of innate immunity, in acute myeloid leukemia and multiple myeloma.”

  • Shares of INVO Bioscience (INVO) closed trading at $3.09/share after recently being added to the Nasdaq. 
    • INVO is a medical device company focused on creating alternative treatments for patients diagnosed with infertility and developers of INVOcell®, the world’s only in vivo Intravaginal Culture System. Industry forecasts suggest that only 1% to 2% of the estimated 150 million infertile couples worldwide are currently being treated. INVO’s mission is to increase access to care and expand infertility treatment across the globe with a goal of improving patient affordability and industry capacity. Since January 2019, INVO Bioscience has signed commercialization agreements in the United States, India, as well as parts of Africa and Eurasia and Mexico for the INVOcell device.
    • Last week, INVO announced the formation of its Scientific Advisory Board (SAB) with the appointment of several prominent members of the fertility industry, including: Tony Anderson, DHSc, ELD, multi-site laboratory director for Aspire Fertility as well as the founder of EmbryoDirector IVF Academy USA; Amber Cooper, MD, MSCI, FACOG, a reproductive endocrinologist and medical director of Vios Fertility Institute St. Louis; Karen R. Hammond, DNP, CRNP, IVF Program Director of the America Institute of Reproductive Medicine in Birmingham, Alabama; and Francisco “Paco” Arredondo, MD, MPH, FACOG, recently Chief Medical Officer of the United States largest network of fertility centers, overseeing more than 50 fertility specialists, and currently a partner in a joint venture developing INVOcell clinics in Mexico.
    • Friday before last, INVO announced the pricing of an underwritten public offering of 3,625,000 shares of its common stock at a public offering price of $3.20 per share. The gross proceeds to INVO Bioscience from this offering are expected to be approximately $11.6 million, before deducting underwriting discounts and commissions and other estimated offering expenses. INVO Bioscience has granted the underwriters a 45-day option to purchase up to an additional 543,750 shares of common stock to cover over-allotments, if any. The offering is expected to close on November 17, 2020, subject to customary closing conditions. Shares of their common stock  began trading on Friday, November 13, 2020 under the symbol “INVO” on the Nasdaq Capital Market. Roth Capital Partners acted as the sole book-running manager, with Colliers Securities LLC and Paulson Investment Company, LLC acting as co-managers for the offering. Learn More Now. 
  •  
  • Shares of NeuBase Therapeutics (NBSE) closed at $8.09/share, +1.76% after recently reaching a new 52-week high recently of $11.78/share.
    • NeuBase is developing the next generation of gene silencing therapies with its flexible, highly specific synthetic antisense oligonucleotides. The proprietary NeuBase peptide-nucleic acid (PNA) antisense oligonucleotide (PATrOL™) platform allows for the rapid development of targeted drugs, increasing the treatment opportunities for the hundreds of millions of people affected by rare genetic diseases, including those that can only be treated through accessing of secondary RNA structures. Using PATrOL technology, NeuBase aims to first tackle rare, genetic neurological disorders. NeuBase is continuing its progress towards developing treatment candidates in Huntington’s Disease (HD) and Myotonic Dystrophy (DM1) and is expected to release further data prior to year end 2020.
  • Shares of Atossa Therapeutics (ATOS) closed at $1.57/share up 9.79%. 
    • Atossa is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company seeking to discover and develop innovative medicines in areas of significant unmet medical need with a current focus on breast cancer and COVID-19.
    • Recently, Atossa announced blinded preliminary results from its Phase 1 clinical study using Atossa’s proprietary drug candidate AT-301 administered by nasal spray. AT-301 was found to be safe and well tolerated in this study at two different dose levels in both single and multiple dose forms over 14 days. AT-301 is being developed for at home use for patients recently diagnosed with COVID-19. There are currently no FDA-approved therapies to treat COVID-19 at home. Learn more.
    • Recently, Edward Woo, CFA, analyst at Ascendiant Capital Markets, Inc. issued an update report raising his price target to $7.50 citing “Q3 inline. Strong potential for its drugs to treat COVID-19 and breast cancer makes stock attractive” after Atossa had announced their financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2020, and provided an update on recent company developments On Friday. Contact Edward M. Woo, CFA at 949.259.4932 or ewoo@ascendiant.com to gain access to his report. 

Economic Reports

  • On Monday, we received the preliminary Markit PMI and Services reports for November which were positive. 
  • On Tuesday, the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index report which ended down at 96.1 in November. The September S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index report confirmed a rise by 6.6% while the September FHFA Housing Price Index report confirmed a rise by 1.7%.

Investing & Inspiration

“Money is like a sixth sense – and you can’t make use of the other five without it.” – William Somerset Maugham

“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t, pays it.” — Albert Einstein

“Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good results” — Warren Buffett

“The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.” – Warren Buffett

“Thousands of experts study overbought indicators, head-and-shoulder patterns, put-call ratios, the Fed’s policy on money supply…and they can’t predict markets with any useful consistency, any more than the gizzard squeezers could tell the Roman emperors when the Huns would attack.” – Peter Lynch

“Investing puts money to work. The only reason to save money is to invest it.” – Grant Cardone

“You cannot save time for your future use however you can invest time for your future.” – John F. Heerdink, Jr. 

“Know what you own, and know why you own it.” – Peter Lynch

“Liquidity is only there when you don’t need it.” -Old Proverb

“If you want to be a millionaire, start with a billion dollars and launch a new airline.” – Richard Branson

“Fear incites human action far more urgently than does the impressive weight of historical evidence.” – Jeremy Siegel

“In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable.” – Robert Arnott

“Spend each day trying to be a little wiser than you were when you woke up.” – Charlie Munger

“The entrance strategy is actually more important than the exit strategy.” – Edward Lampert

“The rivers don’t drink their own water; Trees don’t eat their own fruits. The sun does not shine for itself, And flowers do not spread their fragrance For themselves. Living for others is a rule of nature” – Pope Francis

“It is impossible to produce superior performance unless you do something different from the majority.” – John Templeton

“An investment in knowledge pays the best interest.” – Benjamin Franklin.

I believe the returns on investment in the poor are just as exciting as successes achieved in the business arena, and they are even more meaningful!” -Bill Gates

“Every portfolio benefits from bonds; they provide a cushion when the stock market hits a rough patch. But avoiding stocks completely could mean your investment won’t grow any faster than the rate of inflation.” – Suze Orman

“The tax on capital gains directly affects investment decisions, the mobility, and flow of risk capital… the ease or difficulty experienced by new ventures in obtaining capital, and thereby the strength and potential for growth in the economy.” – John F. Kennedy

“If all the economists were laid end to end, they’d never reach a conclusion. -George Bernard Shaw

“There are old traders and there are bold traders, but there are very few old, bold traders.”-Ed Seykota

“Let this scenario play out on its own, in its own fashion. As you watch it unfold, you will soon be grateful that you choose the peaceful path. Remember — those who live by the sword, die by the sword.”

“As long as you enjoy investing, you’ll be willing to do the homework and stay in the game.” -Jim Cramer

“I rarely think the market is right. I believe non-dividend stocks aren’t much more than baseball cards. They are worth what you can convince someone to pay for it.” -Mark Cuban

Michael Marcus taught me one other thing that is absolutely critical: You have to be willing to make mistakes regularly; there is nothing wrong with it. Michael taught me about making your best judgment, being wrong, making your next best judgment, being wrong, making your third best judgment, and then doubling your money.” -Bruce Kovner

“The policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.” -Jawaharlal Nehru

“The only true test of whether a stock is “cheap” or “high” is not its current price in relation to some former price, no matter how accustomed we may have become to that former price, but whether the company’s fundamentals are significantly more or less favorable than the current financial-community appraisal of that stock.” -Philip Fisher

“I learned to avoid trying to catch up or double up to recoup losses. I also learned that a certain amount of loss will affect your judgment, so you have to put some time between that loss and the next trade.” -Richard Dennis

“The four most dangerous words in investing are: ‘this time it’s different.” -Sir John Templeton

“Money doesn’t make you happy. I now have $50 million but I was just as happy when I had $48 million.” -Arnold Schwarzenegger

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