“Calming Rally” Vista Partners Daily Market Recap 8/29/19

By John Heerdink LinkedIn
A “Thank you” seems to be is in order for China Commerce Minister Gao Feng for providing the calming statement and much-needed energy that apparently served to fuel the market’s rally today. According to a CNBC’s translation of his Mandarin-language, they published “We firmly reject an escalation of the trade war, and are willing to negotiate and collaborate in order to solve this problem with a calm attitude.” Again was enough to send the markets progressively upward again today across the board. 10 of the eleven S&P 500 sectors were up again today with industrials and technology leading the way up 1.8% & 1.7% respectively. The S&P 500 gained 36.64 points or 1.27% to end the session at 2,924.58. The Dow gained 326.15 points closing well above the 26k level once more at 26,362.25 up 1.25%.  The tech-heavy Nasdaq closed at 7,973.39 up 1.48% or 116.51 points. The Russell 2000, the small-cap stock market index representing the bottom 2,000 stocks in the Russell 3000 Index,  closed at 1,496.72 up 24.01 points or 1.63%.  Treasury yields moved higher today and moved back in line. The 2-yr Treasury yield closed at 1.52% up .01 & the 10-yr yield finished higher but equally at 1.52% but up .05. The U.S. Dollar Index closed at 98.45 up .3% again today. Volatility bets closed much lower again today as the markets swung higher.   The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) closed at $17.88 share down 7.6% or $1.47/share and traded between $17.60 and $19.20. The 2x leveraged ETF TVIX  closed at $17.81/share down 8.20% or $1.59/share and traded between $17.46 and $18.54 today.





Energy The energy sector moved higher again today up 1.5%. Oil prices closed at $56.67/bbl up 1.6%. Dow 30 energy participants Chevron (CVX) moved higher by .59% closing at $117.52/share & Exxon (XOM) closed higher by 1.11% closing at $68.43/share.  Occidental Petroleum (OXY) closed at $43.37/share up .60% after their recent sale of $13 billion of debt to fund their Anadarko Purchase. 




Metals & Mining Gold prices moved higher to close at $1544.8/oz up $1.51/oz. Silver closed higher at $18.53/oz. Hecla Mining Company (HL) closed at $1.76/share down4.35%. First Majestic Silver closed lower at $10.74/share down 4.19%.





Healthcare The S&P 500 healthcare sector closed at 1045.00 up .77%. UnitedHealth (UNH) closed up 1.44% closing at $230.62/share, Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) closed at $50.40/share up .9% & Cigna (CI) gained 3.42% closing at $152.50/share post their recent Q2 earnings beat. INVO Bioscience, Inc. (IVOB) ended the day at $.30/share as daily trading volume continues to rise in concert with their announcing progress after their exclusive U.S. partnership with Ferring Pharmaceuticals, a leader in the reproductive health industry was announced in Q1-2019. Ferring has committed to providing the necessary sales and marketing resources to more fully develop the market in the United States. There are countless couples not able to receive reproductive treatments today, and Ferring can be instrumental in addressing the unmet needs of this cohort. Ferring has the industry experience, relationships and the marketing capabilities to successfully embed the INVOcell in clinics throughout the country.  IVOB is a medical device company, headquartered in Sarasota, FL focused on creating simplified, lower-cost treatment options for patients diagnosed with infertility. The company’s lead product, the INVOcell, is a novel medical device used in infertility treatment that is FDA cleared and that enables egg fertilization and early embryo development in the woman’s vaginal cavity.  Recently, INVO Bioscience (IVOB) announced that revenues for the quarter totaled $658,638 compared to $110,210 in the second quarter of 2018, an increase of 498%. Revenue growth was driven primarily by increased product sales in the U.S. as shipments to Ferring were above expectations outlined in May 2019 as they began to increase their marketing activities. On January 14, 2019, the Company closed an exclusive U.S. licensing agreement with Ferring International Center S.A. the parent Company of Ferring Pharmaceuticals U.S. to commercialize the INVOcell™ system for use in the treatment of infertility. As part of the U.S. licensing agreement, the Company received a $5 million one-time milestone payment, with the ability to receive an additional $3 million upon obtaining a label enhancement from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Read Complete Story.





Biotech The Ishares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) moved higher up .72% to close at $103.62. Acasti Pharma Inc. (ACST), a biopharmaceutical innovator focused on its prescription drug candidate CaPre for the treatment of severe hypertriglyceridemia (HTG),  closed today’s trading at $1.81/share up 5.85% after hitting an intraday high of $1.91 on trading volume of 2.51 million shares. B. Riley recently initiated coverage with a BUY Recommendation and a Price Target of $7.75/share.
Atossa Genetics (ATOS),  a Seattle-based biotech firm developing novel therapeutics and delivery methods to treat breast cancer and other breast conditions closed at $2.01/share. The average daily trading volume is 412,895 shares per day and reported Q2 financial results & company update today. Recently, Atossa also announced that recently the online launch of company CEO Steven Quay’s Tedx UofW Talk, “How to Be Smart When You’re Dense: Preventing Breast Cancer by 2030.” The talk has been posted online at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hK4PlbYE_5M&list=PLsRNoUx8w3rNCo4uCVXiNDFZLiKrIOQ1J&index=5 and can also be accessed via the company’s website at www.atossagenetics.com  and has received over 120,000 views to dateIn the Tedx UofW talk, Steven Quay, M.D., Ph.D., Atossa’s Chief Executive Officer outlines the journey of Atossa Genetics in identifying improved ways to identify women at high risk of breast cancer, using mammography to identify dense breast tissue. Dr. Quay also details his experience with triumph, failure, and perseverance while trying to prevent one of the world’s most common diseases: breast cancer. He emphasizes the need for unshaken efforts to solve such complex problems and ways that he and his team are doing so in breast cancer research. Also, recently Atossa is developing a new proprietary modified-release oral tablet form of its Endoxifen, which is the form of the drug that the company intends for future clinical studies and commercialization. This is the next generation of oral Endoxifen following the successful clinical studies of the capsule form of the company’s oral Endoxifen. A patent application covering the new table has also been filed with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office. As part of the development of this new oral tablet, Atossa has commenced a Phase 1 study in Australia to ascertain the pharmacokinetics of the tablet. The study is randomized, double-blinded and placebo-controlled with both single and multiple-doses in 2 groups with a total of 24 healthy female volunteers who will be dosed for 14 days. Atossa’s oral Endoxifen capsule, which has been used in previous clinical studies, will serve as the comparator. The first group of the study has now been enrolled and dosed. Steven C. Quay, Ph.D., M.D., CEO, and president of Atossa, commented: “We are excited to take this next step in our oral Endoxifen product development. Based on the abundance of information from our previous clinical studies, we strongly believe in the potential efficacy of oral dosing and intend for this modified-release tablet to be the commercial form of our oral Endoxifen. The goal of the modified-release aspect of the drug is to create more even uptake of the drug which we believe may reduce side effects and improve efficacy. This new study builds on the success of our Phase 1 studies of the oral capsule and topical forms of our Endoxifen, our recent successful Phase 2 study of topical Endoxifen, which demonstrated significant efficacy in reducing breast density, and our single-patient compassionate use study of oral Endoxifen. Following the completion of this Phase 1 trial, we will continue to use this proprietary modified-release formulation for future clinical studies — including a Phase 2 trial that we have already indicated is in development — and ultimately regulatory approval. We look forward to completing the study in the next quarter.”
Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. (Nasdaq: STOK), a biotechnology company that is pioneering a new way to treat the underlying cause of genetic diseases by precisely upregulating protein expression,  announced recently that the enrollment of the first patient in an observational study of children and adolescents ages 2 to 18 with Dravet syndrome. Dravet syndrome is a severe and progressive genetic epilepsy characterized by frequent, prolonged and refractory seizures, beginning within the first year of life. The effects of the disease go beyond seizures and often include cognitive regression or developmental stagnation, ataxia, speech impairment, and sleep disturbances. STOK shares closed at $37.40/share up 7.26% on 168,339 shares of trading.




Consumer Staples and Discretionary

Dollar General (DG) closed at $156.09/share up an attractive +10.7% after beating earnings expectations. Burlington Stores (BURL) closed at $205.42 up a whopping +18.9% after its earnings beat too.

Walmart (WMT) closed at $114.08/share up 1.21% after their recent earnings beat and positive guidance.

Disney (DIS) closed at $137.84 up .94% after recently revealing that it will launch its new streaming service Disney+ in Canada & Netherlands on November 12th and then in Australia and New Zealand the next day.

The Home Depot (HD) closed at $227.32/share up 2.42%. Target (TGT) continued its recent rally and closed at $107.93/share up 1.44% after beating earnings estimates recently. Boeing (BA) closed at $362.74/share up .77%. Reports recently surfaced that the company is planning to increase the production of the 737 to 52/mo in February 2019 if they get the sign off from regulators that allow the commercial return of the troubled 737 MAX. Home-exercise startup Peloton Interactive Inc.’s pitch filed its S-1 on Tuesday, Aug. 27th for its proposed initial public offering (IPO.) Peloton is the largest interactive fitness platform in the world with a loyal community of over 1.4 million members. They pioneered connected, technology-enabled fitness, and the streaming of immersive, instructor-led boutique classes to our Members anytime, anywhere. They state that they make fitness entertaining, approachable, effective, and convenient while fostering social connections that encourage their members to be the best versions of themselves. They define a Member as an individual who has a Peloton account.





Financials

S&P 500 Financials sector closed up 1.5%. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) closed at $109.22/share up 2.27%. Goldman Sachs (GS) closed at $203.44/share up 2.14%.





Tech

S&P 500 Technology Hardware & Equipment sector closed at $1239.20 up 1.68% Apple (AAPL) closed at $209.01/share up 1.69%. Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) closed at $47.27/share up  .85% IBM (IBM) closed at $134.88/share up 1.60%. Microsoft (MSFT) closed at $138.12/share up 1.89%. Facebook (FB) closed at $185.57/share up 2.10%. Amazon (AMZN) closed at $1,786.40/share up 1.26%. Netflix (NFLX) closed $296.78/share up 1.72%. Google (Alphabet, Inc.) (GOOG) closed at $1,192.85/share up 1.86%




Economy

On Monday we received the durable goods orders report which moved up 2.1%.  Excluding transportation, the durable goods orders report went down .4%. On Tuesday, the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for August came in at 135.1 confirming a relatively strong consumer confidence position in the US. The FHFA Housing Price Index report for June moved up .2%. The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index for June also moved higher by 2.1%.
On Wednesday, we received the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index report which confirmed a 6.2% decrease. On Thursday, we received the second estimate for Q2 GDP and it confirmed a 2.0% annualized growth while the GDP Deflator stayed the same at 2.4%. Initial job claims for the week ending August 24 moved higher by 4,000 to 215,000 while continuing claims for the week ending August 17 move up by 22,000 to 1.698M. The Advance report for International Trade in Goods for July confirmed a deficit of $72.3B  while the Advance report for Wholesale Inventories for July moved by .2%, & the Advance report for Retail Inventories for July moved higher by .8%. Pending Home Sales went lower by 2.5% in July.





Day or Short Term Trading Update Last Thursday’s buy of Bloom Energy ( BE) at $5.06/share and $4.99/share paid off as it surged to $5.70 about a 14% move. We were seeking a swing back up to at least the high $5’s after its recent beat down and we got it. We identified San Jose, CA’s Zscaler (ZS), a cloud-based web security provider, as a bounce play after it got slammed earlier this week after being downgraded and closed down at $70.80. ZS popped then to $74.51/share for an approximate 5% gain. The Hain Celestial Group, a leading organic and natural products company with operations in North America, Europe, Asia & the Middle East,  was also identified as another bounce play. HAIN shares closed trading at $18.36/share Wednesday (Aug. 21st) after a recent analyst downgrade and a simultaneous price drop from the $22 level that seemed to be triggered by fears surrounding The Brexit issue and timeline. Thursday, Aug 22nd, HAIN  shares rose to an intraday high of $18.99 and then closed at $18.91 for 3% move. On  Aug. 28th The Hain Celestial Group (HAIN) announced the completion of the divestiture of its Tilda to Ebro Foods for $342 million in cash. We reentered HAIN stock at $18.30/share and it moved to an intraday high of $18.66 prior to closing at $18.36/share up .99%. HAIN is due to report Q4 and fiscal year 2019 earnings tomorrow at 8:30 am eastern.  Today HAIN hit an intraday high of $19.69/share and closed at $19.03 up 3.65%. This was another successful exit. Today we also entered Acasti Pharma Inc. (ACST) at $1.81/share for a momentum trade to $2/share. ACST a biopharmaceutical innovator focused on its prescription drug candidate CaPre for the treatment of severe hypertriglyceridemia (HTG). ACST shares closed today’s trading at $1.81/share up 5.85% after hitting an intraday high of $1.91 on trading volume of 2.51 million shares. B. Riley recently initiated coverage with a BUY Recommendation and a Price Target of $7.75/share.





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